FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Free Trade Versus Protective Policies and Where Is Trump Going On This?

As part of his campaign, President Trump stated time and time again that he wanted to either renegotiate trade agreements such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) involving Canada and Mexico or withdraw from negotiations involving future agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Well, Trump withdrew from his predecessor’s signature TPP trade deal on his first full weekday in office, leaving the 11 other countries that had negotiated the pact to wonder if years of work had just gone down the drain. Currently, NAFTA negotiations are taking place with a ridiculous December 2017 deadline to complete a new deal.

The problem is that trade today involves a global economy with integrated production and services of multinational corporations around the world. Trump’s attempt to introduce protective policies is most likely going to hurt American corporations as much as foreign enterprises and workers.  In order to be competitive, American corporations now rely heavily on goods, services and component production found in other countries.  In the case of NAFTA, those in the U.S. vastly underestimate the important trading relationship most of the 50 states hold with Canada. Indeed, 35 American states trade more with Canada than any other country. Currently, some 70 percent of Canada’s trade is with the U.S. — the majority of which benefits both countries. NAFTA has also benefited Mexico economically in various ways and those American states bordering Mexico.

American, Mexican and Canadian consumers benefit through access to more and cheaper goods and services, as evidenced by the number of American retail outlets operating in Mexico and Canada. With NAFTA, we have evolved into a continental economy, with improvements for labour and the environment — particularly in Mexico as a result of side agreements. What’s interesting is that the Republicans have always been the defenders and promoters of free trade in Congress and the White House, as were leaders of the Conservative Party in Canada. Ironically, we now have a Liberal Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, who is promoting the benefits of free trade for all three countries.

Yes, there are things that can be improved in NAFTA since its implementation almost thirty years ago. World economies have changed a lot since then, particularly with new technologies. However, most experts believe that its benefits to all three countries far outweigh its costs. Other factors, such as new innovations in communications, energy and robotics have had a greater impact on the labour market and the environment than trade agreements. Simply introducing more protective policies will not change or stop the consequences of rapid innovation in the manufacturing, service, finance and other sectors. Punishing countries through protective policies will simply hurt everyone involved. Such policies don’t only go against the changing realities of our times, but also against common sense.

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Who Likes A Military Parade More Than Donald Trump?

Like the old saying, everyone loves a parade. Indeed, it would appear from all reports (including fake news) that President Trump would love to see a military parade down Pennsylvania Avenue displaying the military might of the U.S.A.  He apparently got the idea from watching the Bastille Day parade in Paris with President Emmanuel Macron of France last July.  He is said to have called it “one of the most beautiful parades I have ever seen”— jet planes flying overhead and tanks and other armoured vehicles rolling along, with hundreds, if not thousands, of military personnel marching along to inspirational patriotic band music.  Trump reportedly said that “We are going to have to try and top it.”

And why not? After all, North Korea, Russia and China display their military hardware in parades all the time.  Just imagine Donald Trump standing proudly on the viewing stand in a Mussolini-style pose while smiling ear-to-ear at the display of American military prowess. Never mind the cost of such an event, which would be in the millions of tax-payer dollars at a time when the feds are running huge deficits.  Just imagine the great publicity shots and huge crowds, even larger than those attending his inaugural parade.  When to do it?  Well, how about next Fourth of July!  Americans have not witnessed a major military parade down the streets of Washington since 1991 when President George Bush hosted a limited military parade after the end of the Persian Gulf war.  That display was somewhat cheap as it only cost a little more than a pitiful $12 million U.S.  Surely, Trump can do better than that!

As the Commander-in-Chief, President Trump deserves to have his parade to display the American military might for all the world to see, including the North Koreans and Russians. We’ll see who has the biggest and most powerful missiles — Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin or Kim Jong-un. Needless-to-say, I imagine that the Americans would win the bragging rights.  So go ahead, President Trump.  Spend those hard-earned tax dollars and have your little parade if it makes you happy.  I’m sure we’ll all be watching with either great anticipation or even greater unease.

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Hurricanes, Droughts and Forest Fires Attest to Issues Regarding Climate Change

First there was Hurricane Harvey, and now there is Hurricane Irma — the worst in recorded history. Forest fires now cover nine U.S. states and have ravished the Canadian province of British Columbia. Around the world, annual temperatures have consistently increased, leaving havoc, rising waters and scorched earth in their wake.  Yet, here we have a President of the world’s most powerful country arguing that climate change is not an issue!  Some people argue about economics, but the recovery from damages caused by Hurricane Harvey in the U.S. is already estimated to cost over 180 Billion dollars (U.S.). The damages from forest fires and to crops are estimated to be in the billions of dollars.

For the human race to sit back and not do anything to deal with climate change is ludicrous to say the least. Sticking one’s head in the proverbial sand and ignoring the socioeconomic impact and scientific evidence related to climate change doesn’t make any sense!  What we need is leadership, both national and international.  Simply coping with the consequences is no longer a viable alternative, no matter how much leaders brag about their response to these calamities.  The fact is that people parish and people loose everything.

The U.S. consumes forty percent of the earth’s resources. It has a responsibility to do so in an environmental friendly and responsible way.  Without American proactive and aggressive actions in dealing with climate change, international initiatives may be meaningless.  It’s time for President Trump and Congress to recognize this reality.  Policies need to be changed now.  It’s taken decades to arrive at this point, and it will probably take years to tackle the issues pertaining to climate change.  Our climate supersedes the economy.  Mankind cannot believe that matters surrounding the earth’s climate are secondary in nature.  The state of our planet is first and foremost the most important consideration that we should have.  Let’s hold our leaders accountable.

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What Is It With Trump And All These Post-Election Rallies?

Someone should tell President Trump that the electioneering should have been over last November. However, once again Trump is planning to continue holding rallies to arouse the masses.  For example, Trump is pressing forward with plans for a large-scale political rally next week in Phoenix, Arizona, despite pleas from the city’s mayor and other officials not to hold a polarizing event while feelings remain so raw over the recent violence in Charlottesville, Virginia. These are not presidential events to officially announce or promote new legislative initiatives because there are none.

Last November, I blogged that I couldn’t help but compare Donald Trump with the former Italian dictator Benito Mussolini. Mussolini loved rallies and military parades, with his black shirted supporters marching in step to patriotic music and shouting nonsensical slogans.  Now, I’m not saying that Trump’s supporters at these rallies are fascists.  However, let me quote from my earlier blog: “Mussolini had quickly gained a reputation for his magnetism and remarkable rhetorical talents, inspiring large disenchanted crowds with populist slogans. Trump adeptly worked his campaign rhetoric to galvanize his supporters at large orchestrated gatherings.”  As an extreme narcissist, Trump appears to need regular reassurance that some Americans still adore and support him, including apparently the white supremacists whom he refuses to condemn in no uncertain terms.

What’s with all these continuing rallies? There are no mid-term elections at this time.  If there were, I’m not too sure that very many Republican candidates would want Trump’s support at this time.  The GOP appear to be in disarray following the failure to pass their proposed health care legislation and to end so-called Obamacare.  The White House is in a mess with even the house rats fleeing the premises.  Trump’s staff still spend most of their time trying to clarify what the President’s actual position is on a number of important current issues, not always succeeding to do so.

Instead of parading around the country seeking reaffirmation of his popularity, which is now at an all time low, Trump should spend more time in Washington. He needs to mend fences with Congress, his Cabinet and what’s left of his original staff.  What Americans don’t need are more rallies.  What Americans are looking for is clear and unifying leadership from their president and his administration.  No more off-the-cuff meanderings.  No more divisive speeches full of historical inaccuracies and bombastic statements.  Either be president for all Americans, or resign and let someone else provide the essential leadership needed to tackle the critical issues that America and the world face. Then and only then can one begin to talk about “making America great again”!

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Trump Administration Cuts to Workplace Health & Safety Programs Hurts Workers

The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently reported that nearly 5,000 workers were killed on the job in the United States in 2015. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA), an agency within the U.S. Labor Department, oversees workplace safety in most sectors. Another agency within the Labor Department, the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA), oversees health and safety within the nation’s most dangerous mines. However, under President Trump, both agencies are under attack. The Trump administration and lawmakers seem to be making good on commitments to roll back occupational health and safety (OHS) regulations on businesses. Both OSHA and the MSHA appear to be prime targets. OSHA is expected to see a major cut to its budget which most likely will result in fewer safety inspectors to do enforcement and proactive work.

This year alone, deaths in U.S. coal mines with ten coal miners killed to date, have surged ahead of last year’s total. The United Mine Workers of America says agency initiatives fall short, noting that federal inspectors who conduct such mine visits are now barred from punishing the owner if they spot safety violations. A number of the government’s Cabinet agencies would see significant budget cuts under the President’s proposal. One of the biggest losers is the Department of Labor.  In the last few months there have been several instances in which workplace safety decisions have been revisited by the Trump administration, with a number of health and safety rules and standards being challenged or overturned.

As an admirer of past U.S. health and safety initiatives, including excellent research undertaken by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH), the administration’s attacks on these agencies represent a regressive display of terrible policies. There has been great progress in the fields of OHS in recent years, with the U.S. leading the way. For example, the NIOSH WorkLife Initiative is intended as a guide for employers and employer-employee partnerships wishing to establish effective workplace programs that sustain and improve worker health. Workplace injury rates had been declining in recent years as a result primarily of OSHA and MSHA enforcement and education programs.

However, work-related fatalities and injuries are still far too high in the U.S. and elsewhere. Reducing the capabilities of health and safety agencies to do their jobs isn’t going to help matters.  OSHA and the MSHA have worked closely with employer, labour and professional organizations to implement reasonable and cooperative policies and programs.  Yes, there are costs for employers to comply with OHS laws, but there are also direct costs to the country, workers and their families as a result of workplace fatalities and injuries.  In this day and age, there is no reason for a worker not to expect to leave for work in the morning and to return safely at the end of the day.  After all, these are fathers and mothers, sons and daughters, brothers and sisters.  Failure to protect all workers and to go after the bad actors will cost us all in the long run!

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U.S. Has Given Way To China When It Comes To Trade And Foreign Investment

In recent years, China, the second largest economy in the world, has made major strides in trade with other countries and in investment abroad. China’s position in Asia has been strengthened by President Trump’s withdrawal from trade negotiations under the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). While the U.S. withdrawal may have slowed the TPP talks, most countries, including Canada and Japan, believe that trade talks will continue, either bilaterally or multilaterally. Australia’s trade minister even went so far as to suggest the remaining 11 countries could ask China to join the deal instead. Moreover, China has offered up its own version of the pact, one that excludes the U.S. and favors China’s more mercantilist approach. Indeed, Canada and China have now agreed to start exploratory trade talks in the fall.

In the Middle East and Africa, China is making major inroads in terms of trade, investment and infrastructure development in several countries. Take the example of Iran where China is currently investing billions in infrastructure improvements such as bridges, rails, ports and energy. As a result of unilateral American sanctions that intimidate global banks, China is the only source of the large amounts of capital that Iran needs to finance critical infrastructure projects. China is also an important market for Iranian oil, even after Western sanctions were lifted in 2016 allowing Iran to again sell oil in European markets. With the completion of rail lines from Urumqi, the capital of China’s western region of Xinjiang, to Tehran, China will have a faster and more direct link to export its goods as far as northern Europe, Poland and Russia — at much less cost than today.

Elsewhere, Chinese President Xi Jinping made a trip through Latin America in November 2016, his third in four years. Bloomberg News reported that he signed more than 40 deals, and committed billions of dollars of investments in that region.  In January 2017, President Xi became the first Chinese president to attend the World Economic Forum at Davos. His aim was no doubt to reinforce the message of Chinese global leadership on free trade.

The TPP was all about the U.S. showing leadership in the Asia region.  In the end, trade experts believe that with U.S. not there, the void has to be filled.  It will be filled by China.  Years ago, I read a book entitled “China Inc.” by Ted C. Fishman*.  Well worth reading, the book highlighted China’s impressive and unprecedented economic gains while becoming a power house.  When it comes to trade and foreign investment, I’m certain that Mr. Fishman would agree today that the Trump administration could be the best thing that’s happened to China in a long time.

* China Inc. (How the Rise of the Next Superpower Challenges America and the World): Ted. C. Fishman (Scribner, New York, N.Y., 2005)

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On Creating Jobs For Disadvantaged Youth, Trump Doesn’t Walk the Talk

The U.S. Federal government has funded a number of worthwhile job creation programs for disadvantaged and unemployed youth. One of these is the Job Corps program which is the nation’s largest residential training and employment program. Job Corps serves about 50,000 young people annually, providing a largely disadvantaged group of 16- to 24-year-olds with training and work experience.  Indeed, it was reported in 2015 that more than 80 percent of Job Corps graduates found a job, went on to college, or entered the military.  71 percent received an industry-recognized credential before graduation.  However, under the Congressional Budget for the Employment and Training Administration, Trump has proposed a 14 percent cut from its $1.7 billion current budget.

Yes, Trump’s recent executive order would redirect over $100 million of federal job training money to pay for the new apprenticeships, supplementing $90 million in funding for the existing program. However, the transfer of funds would be done at the expense of other employment programs like Job Corps and those aimed at seniors and veterans.  As in the case of the Republican health care bill, many of these same individuals would be detrimentally affected by proposed changes to existing programs.  Without such programs as Job Corps, many of these young people would end up in poverty, incarcerated, back on the street and on social assistance.

Trump talks a lot about putting Americans back to work, but budget cuts appear to be telling a different story. As in Canada, American apprenticeship programs are largely controlled by state agencies, unions and educational institutions.  They are fine as far as they go, but most often require certain educational qualifications such as a high school or college diploma.  Most disadvantaged youth have not graduated from high school and would not meet the basic prerequisites.  Some may even have criminal records as juveniles or adolescents. In a country as large and wealthy as the U.S., you’d think that a couple of billion dollars in support of helping disadvantaged youth enter the labour market would be a good thing.  Apparently, the Trump administration doesn’t think so.  So much for walking the talk!

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Who Does One Trust More — Corporations or Governments?

I recently read a Washington Post article which begged the question as to why Millennials — usually defined as those born between 1982 and 2000 — keep leaking government secrets? The article noted that a 2016 poll by the Economic Innovation Group found that 72 percent of American Millennials had a low confidence in their federal government.  Who can blame them given the Trump administration’s track record to date!  The author also noted that young employees are more likely to demonstrate less loyalty to corporate employers for a number of legitimate reasons.  Among these is the fact that corporations are investing little in employee training.  Instead, they are hiring young persons whom they believe have the requisite expertise and can work independently without immediate close supervision.  In addition, Millennials are much more likely to seek other employment if they are not quickly appreciated and consequently promoted in relation to their chosen career paths.

Bettered educated and informed employees today are much more likely to whistleblow on complaints about working conditions, workplace harassment, illegal corporate activities, etc., etc. Furthermore, there are more professional career-oriented women in the labour force who are willing to speak out publicly about inequities and harassment in the workplace.  We’ve seen the result of this trend in numerous recent high profile cases of sexual harassment highlighted in the media.

Governments and corporations like to talk about employee loyalty as being important to the successful delivery of programs, services and products. However, the nature of loyalty is a two-way street.  Employers also have to demonstrate loyalty to their employees and ‘walk the talk’.  When employees decide to whistleblow about irregularities or breeches of policy, then employers need to take such matters seriously and fairly.  Unfortunately, often enough the employer does not act on the complaint in an appropriate and fair manner.  This can result in employees believing that it is acceptable to leak information about the matter to outside sources, frequently via social media.  Of course, when this happens, the whistleblower may be punished and promising careers can be ended.

Books have been written and studies have been made about the values and attitudes of the ‘Millennial’ generation. Millennials are becoming more important in the labour force, particularly since the Baby-Boomers are retiring and Generation X is right behind. For Millennials, it’s a priority to make the world a better place and to promote improvements in work-life balance.  For this reason, Millennials are more likely to be interested in an organization that cares about global, social and environmental causes.  Organizations demonstrating good ‘corporate social responsibility’ will strengthen employee loyalty and will be more successful in eliciting their employees’ trust.  If more organizations were to do this, perhaps there will be a much needed renewed trust by all of us in both governments and corporations.

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Trumps Nominated for ‘Hypocrites’ Of The Year Award

The Oxford English Dictionary defines ‘hypocrisy’ as “the practice of claiming to have higher standards or beliefs than is the case”. A ‘hypocrite’ is a person who indulges in hypocrisy.  Sorry to say, but the Trumps are in line to be named hypocrites of the year.

Donald Trump complains about the millions of cars that Germany sells in the U.S., and has threatened to stop them. Yet over the years he has been an enthusiastic buyer of German luxury cars.  After their Palm Beach wedding in 2005, Donald and Melania reportedly jumped into a Mercedes Maybach limousine.  He reportedly also once bought a limited-edition silver Mercedes SLR McLaren roadster, with a supercharged AMG V8 engine, for the small sum of $465,000. Needless-to-say, Melania had her own Mercedes at the time.

Ivanka Trump’s shoes and other accessories sold as part of her U.S. line are mostly manufactured in China. The Donald J. Trump Collection includes ties, suits, dress shirts, eyeglasses and other accessories. The Washington Post tried last year to ascertain where the products in the Collection were actually manufactured, including those sold on Amazon.com.  Their research showed that the actual country where some products are manufactured is difficult to determine.  However, it was discovered that Trump shirts are made in China, Bangladesh, Honduras and Vietnam and some Trump sport coats are made in India. Trump eyeglasses are made in China.  So much for creating jobs at home.

As President, Trump continues to complain about unfair trading practices by the Chinese, Germans, Canadians, Mexicans and others at the expense of American jobs. Trump criticizes American companies for manufacturing their products overseas.  Meanwhile, Trump trademarks are still being copywrited in various countries overseas, the most recent in China where his company secured 38 new trademarks to develop potential businesses.  This of course has raised serious conflict of interest questions among ethics lawyers.

In more personal terms, Trump recently had an audience with Pope Francis. Talk about hypocrisy.  Here you have a President who wants to ban travel from several predominantly Islamic countries and built a wall between the U.S. and one of the most Catholic countries on the planet, Mexico.  In addition, just think about all those charities that Trump claimed to support, but never did.  Really, Trump is about as religious and charitable as Steve Bannon is a socialist!  The only thing that Trump has in common with the Catholic church is misogyny and wealth.

The list goes on and on, but the evidence speaks for itself. The Trumps have definitely earned consideration for the ‘hypocrites’ award of the year.  Congratulations!!!!

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Why People Have Become So Reliant On News And Opinion Via Twitter?

Let’s face it, many of the 140-character “tweets” by individuals seem inane. Why would Twitter users want to read short messages about what someone ate for breakfast or lunch?  It’s a reasonable question.  However, people like President Trump seem to understand that social media has become the nervous system of the American news business and political thinking. With one or two tweets, Trump can dominate cable TV, the web, newspapers and talk radio for an entire day.

The attention span of the average American and Canadian is about a few minutes before they need to skip to the next social media excerpt. The need for brief releases proved very successful during Trump’s campaign when he cultivated a Twitter fan base.  His core of supporters continue now  to hang on to his every tweet as if it were gospel.  In turn, the main stream media is forced to pay attention to President Trump’s tweets which have now become part and parcel of our daily news.  However, his continued use of Twitter has proven to be much more than a mere annoyance to Trump’s advisors and staff, since they must regularly respond to each nonsensical tweet by clarifying what the President actually meant to say in the tweets.

Now, we have Twitter co-founder Evan Williams apologizing for the fact that Twitter may have helped Trump become President. You see, Twitter tends to penalize nuance and moderation, while rewarding hot takes and bombast.  Twitter was intended as a research tool to allow individuals, governments and business share information and opinions about products and services through social media.  However, like any new technology, the Internet and Twitter can also be abused by anyone to put out “fake news” or spew hate and falsehoods instantaneously anywhere in the world.

Evan Williams is correct in suggesting that Twitter can create more problems than solutions, but he may be giving social media too much credit. I would suggest that the fact that over fifty percent of Americans and Canadians get their news from social media, their blind acceptance of such news and opinions without further investigation is the real problem.  One 2012 study further revealed that 51 percent of people age 25 to 34 use social networking at the office – more so than any other age group. Doesn’t look good for future generations!

I personally gather my information for my blogs from reputable news sources which are normally peer reviewed for their facts and accuracies. Without journalistic integrity, who is really to blame if individuals simply accept opinions or arguments put forward in tweets and social media as valid and truthful?  Like anything else, it’s buyer beware.  For all you know, one might be providing you with a bill of goods, biased and filled with falsehoods.  I also keep my blogging to four or five short paragraphs in recognition of our brief on-line attention spans.  Given Trump’s limited attention span, Twitter certainly appears to have been made for him.

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