FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Don’t Drink Too Much Alcohol, Although Drinking In Moderation Can Have Some Benefits?

Studies about risks or benefits to our health flow weekly from research about what we eat, drink or even inhale. In many cases, these studies tend to often contradict other studies, causing no shortage of confusion and inevitable concern.  Research on the consumption of alcohol is no different.  In 2011, the World Health Organization warned that alcohol causes nearly 4 percent of deaths worldwide, more than AIDS, tuberculosis or violence. On the other hand, University of California researchers found that moderate beer consumption may help fight osteoporosis, a disease of the skeletal system characterized by low bone mass and deterioration of bone tissue. However, the same researchers also found that even one glass of wine with dinner, if you’re 55 or older, may hit you hard enough to make you a dangerous driver. A 2010 study by British researchers concluded that heavy alcohol consumption is more harmful than illegal drugs like heroin and crack cocaine. Yet, other medical researchers have found that moderate consumption of red wine can actually improve heart health, although it may also put older adults with heart disease or diabetes at risk of developing a common form of arrhythmia.  However, it has been discovered that heavier drinkers were less likely to have a heart attack. Go figure!

Let’s face it, despite all the warnings about drinking too much alcohol, governments continue to make money on its distribution — much like tobacco. Indeed, today the U.S. government recommends no more than 14 drinks weekly for men and 7 drinks weekly for women. In Canada, it’s 15 drinks weekly for men and 10 drinks weekly for women. Some other European countries set even higher upper limits for men.  Considering myself to be a moderate drinker, I found these recommended limits to be somewhat high.  One might even suggest that at these rates of consumption there is a real danger of developing the condition referred to as alcoholic liver cirrhosis.  According to the American Liver Foundation, between 10 and 20 percent of heavy drinkers will develop such liver cirrhosis.

Now, North Americans have been drinking some form of alcoholic beverage for centuries. It’s a perfectly legal and acceptable pastime activity.  While there are legal restrictions and age limits, there is little doubt that people are introduced to alcohol in their early teens.  It’s only in the last few decades that societies have begun to actually examine the potential health and safety risks associated with drinking alcohol.  It’s only in recent years that legislators and law enforcement have tackled the self-evident dangers linked to drinking and driving.  Numerous campaigns — some fairly successful — have emerged addressing these dangers and their tragic consequences on our highways.

Given the history surrounding alcohol consumption and abuse in North American, I predict that we will see a similar pattern in how we treat recreational marijuana use. I’ve seen estimates that up to ninety percent of North American adults consume some form of alcohol, moderately or heavily.  While recreational marijuana use may not reach the same levels of usage, we will see more research emerging as to what are the benefits and the risks.  I also predict that, just as in case of alcohol studies, there will be results reflecting both the potential benefits and risks of marijuana use.  One can only hope that they are not as confusing as the past contradictory findings of studies on alcohol consumption.  Somehow, I’m not very optimistic.  Even with negative results, I suspect that alcohol and marijuana use will never be banned.  Instead, each individual will continue to have to weigh the benefits and risks for themselves.  As a result, do we really need any more studies?

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Tragedy Strikes a Small Saskatchewan Town as a Result of a Highway Accident

On April 6, 2018, the Humboldt Broncos junior hockey squad was travelling in Saskatchewan by bus to a hockey game, just like many other junior hockey teams do annually across Canada and the U.S.  Unfortunately, the bus was involved in a horrific collision with a tractor trailer.  There were 29 people on the bus at the time of the collision, 15 of whom died with the remainder being sent to hospital suffering from a variety of serious injuries.  Needless-to-say, all of Canada was shocked and sent their prayers and thoughts to the families, friends and community members. A country is in grief, and well it should be.

However, while tragic, one has to understand that fatalities resulting from motor vehicle accidents are a fact of life on North American highways. Fortunately, the introduction of seat belts, air bags and other safety measures helped greatly in reducing fatalities and serious injuries in recent years. In Canada, the death toll went from 2 fatalities per 10,000 motor vehicles registered in 1996 to less than 1 fatality per 10,000 motor vehicles registered in 2015. In the U.S. according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), more than 32,000 people died on U.S. roads in 2013, roughly 90 fatalities a day. However, similar to Canada, the U.S. has seen a 31 percent reduction in its motor vehicle death rate per capita over the past 13 years.

Put in another perspective, gun deaths continue unabated. In 2014, gun deaths outpaced motor vehicle deaths in 21 American states and the District of Columbia. The CDC published recent data showing 38,658 gun deaths for 2016, including suicides — up from 33,563 gun deaths in 2012. Unlike motor vehicles, guns remain the only consumer products not regulated for health and safety in the United States and Canada.

While we are doing better with respect to highway and motor vehicle safety, much more needs to be done. The best thing that one can do to honor the victims of the Humboldt tragedy is to strive to continue to improve highway and motor vehicle safety. The best thing that one can do to honor the students killed in the mass shooting at Florida’s Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School — which saw 17 people killed and several injured — is to improve gun safety and gun control laws. As societies, we owe it to both past and future victims.

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March For Our Lives Is More Than Just A One Day Demonstration, It’s A Decade Long Campaign!

On March 24, 2018, hundreds of thousands of people demonstrated not only in Washington, D.C., but in hundreds of communities across the U.S., Canada, Europe and elsewhere. They demonstrated against a gun culture that threatens our lives and those of our children everyday.  None of us are immune to the violent use of guns.  In Ottawa where I live, there have already been dozens of shootings so far this year, with several people being injured or killed. As per Canadian authorities, guns are being smuggled into Canada from the U.S. on a regular basis. According to the Canada Border Services Agency, firearm seizures at the border are going up. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) has reported that guns are being sold illegally through the darknet, often to buyers who had no firearms licences.  At the same time, gun sales are occurring through more visible online vendors as well as internet forums.  Almost half the guns used in criminal activities have been stolen from the homes of legitimate gun owners.

Possession of handguns, favoured by most drug gangs and organized criminals, is closely regulated in Canada compared to the U.S.  Nevertheless, as a result of the illegal gun smuggling activities, there has been an increasing use of handguns in major Canadian cities.  From about 1991 on, the prevalence of handguns surpassed long-guns in Canadian homicide statistics. Fortunately, due to tighter gun control laws, there have been few shootings that have involved semi-automatic assault weapons.  The last major mass shooting using an assault rifle was on December 6, 1989, when Marc Lépine shot and tragically killed 14 women at Université de Montréal’s École Polytechnique. One result was the tightening up of long-gun control laws in Canada. However, make no mistake, there is a gun lobby in Canada and they are as active as the National Rifle Association (NRA) in the U.S.

The momentum gathered by anti-gun activists after the mass shooting at Florida’s Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School — which saw 17 people killed and several injured — is remarkable. However, the future of this latest effort to cure America of its gun obsession will need gobs of money, time, commitment and political skill. Whether the students have the resolve to see it through will determine whether they have any more success than previous anti-gun uprisings.  The lack of that persistence has been the NRA’s greatest friend to date.  Are the Democrats more willing than Republicans to risk their careers by upsetting the NRA and its many apostles?

While the older generations can sit around crippled by pessimism, today’s younger generation has not only the option but a real need to tackle this issue. Real change takes time, resources and commitment.  Do not believe that the NRA and the gun industry will not devote all its political influence and employ nasty tactics to undermine this emerging movement.  Get ready for a long haul fight and numerous setbacks in the months and years ahead.  Nevertheless, we must applaud and support the movement’s efforts.  Please do so by signing on to their petition and/or sending your friends this link: https://marchforourlives.com/sign.

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Why Haven’t All American States Banned Smoking From Public Places?

Like the gun lobby in the U.S., the tobacco industry has been a major lobbyist. In 2011, American tobacco companies were finally forced to concede that they lied to the American public about so-called light cigarettes and the addictiveness of nicotine. In addition, since the 1990s, the health effects of secondhand smoke have come to the forefront.  The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported in 2011 that secondhand smoke exposure causes lung cancer and cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in nonsmoking adults and children, resulting in an estimated 46,000 heart disease deaths and 3,400 lung cancer deaths among U.S. nonsmoking adults each year. According to the CDC and the Heart Association, long-term exposure to secondhand smoke can raise heart disease rates in adult nonsmokers by 25 percent to 30 percent.

As a result, the CDC also reported in 2011 that the number of states (including the District of Columbia) with laws prohibiting smoking in indoor areas of worksites, restaurants, and bars had increased from zero in 2000 to 26 in 2010. Today, 32 states ban smoking in public places and workplaces, and many cities and other localities do too. However, regional disparities remain with several southern states not having adopted a smoke-free law that prohibits smoking in all three venues.

Federally in Canada, the Non-smokers’ Health Act came into force way back in 1988, covering all employers and workplaces governed by the federal jurisdiction.  Subsequently, smoking in Canada was banned in public indoor spaces and workplaces (including restaurants, bars and casinos) by all ten provinces and three territories.  Some municipalities in turn passed bylaws restricting smoking further than the applicable national/provincial/territorial legislation.

As of 2015, health authorities reported that about 13% of Canadians smoke. According to the CDC’s Office on Smoking and Health, the U.S. smoking rate has dropped every year since 1998 to about 20 percent. With fewer and fewer Americans and Canadians smoking tobacco, there is no good reason for governments at all levels not to ban smoking from public places and workplaces.  We know what the dangers of secondhand smoke are. We need to protect workers, the public and especially children from exposure to this danger.  It’s time that 100 percent of Americans and Canadians are protected from this danger to their health, especially when congregating in indoor public spaces and workplaces.

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Yes, Donald Trump Is “Vindictive”. His Recent Actions Prove It.

The Oxford Dictionary defines “vindictive” as “having or showing a strong or unreasoning desire for revenge”. When I read that Attorney General Jeff Sessions had fired former FBI deputy director Andrew Mc­Cabe — a little more than 24 hours before Mr. McCabe was set to retire — the first word that came to mind was “vindictive”.  Mr. McCabe had spent more than 20 years at the FBI and was well respected by his colleagues and previous administrations. This firing comes days just after the President suddenly fired his Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, using of all things a tweet to inform everyone.  Although not totally unexpected, Mr. Tillerson proved not to be the “yes man” desired by this President.  Again, the manner and speed in which his dismissal was carried out could be described as being “vindictive”.  After all, this was the same person that was rumored to have referred in private to Trump as being a “moron”, which I’m sure was never forgotten.

One again, following the earlier firing of former FBI Director James B. Comey, Mr. McCabe’s firing appears to be one more vindictive attack on the FBI. Remember that Trump’s administration has carried out an ongoing war with the FBI due to the agency’s work for special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s probe into whether the Trump campaign coordinated with Russia. The FBI has also been alleged by the administration of improprieties in the handling of the Clinton email case, despite a lack of evidence supporting the allegations.  Mr. Mc­Cabe’s attorney noted that the intervention by the White House in the Justice Department’s disciplinary process is unprecedented, deeply unfair, and even dangerous.  Moreover, Mr. McCabe was a frequent target of criticism from Trump.  In addition, it was asserted by his lawyer that Mr. McCabe had not been given an adequate chance to respond to the Justice Department’s allegations.  It definitely appears that this may be a good case for a “wrongful dismissal” suit, and if won will no doubt tarnish the President’s and Attorney General’s reputations.

What’s even more troubling in recent weeks is the ongoing loss of Whitehouse staff who have either resigned or been dismissed. As one Political Scientist noted, to date there has never been so much staff turnover and turmoil occurring so early in a first Presidential term.  Way back in February 2016 I published a blog about “Donald Trump and Extreme Narcissism”  (https://froliticks.wordpress.com/2016/02/29/donald-trump-and-extreme-narcissism/).  In it, I noted about extreme narcissists that: “If challenged, they often will bully and disparage those who would dare criticize them.” For the sake of all Americans, I sincerely wish that I had been wrong in my earlier prognosis!

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Where Is Trump Going With His Foreign Policy — Especially When It Comes To North Korea?

Just learned from a release by the Associated Press that President Trump has dumped Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State. Wow!  It’s getting hard to know who is in his Cabinet without a numbered sweater.  What’s even more interesting is that Tillerson’s dismissal comes following Trump’s announcement that he plans to meet with the “little rocket man” — Kim Jong Un, North Korea’s Dictator. Just by sitting down with the President, Kim Jong Un will get what he craves the most: legitimacy.  Of course, this sudden move on the part of Trump most likely caught the former Secretary of State off guard.  Indeed, the entire State Department and foreign service were probably excluded from the decision-making process.  Instead, it appears that the South Korean administration is driving the agenda.  That leaves the Trump administration with few people with experience in dealing with North Korea, while those in the North Korean Foreign Ministry have been working on little else.

No one really knows Kim Jong Un all that while. He certainly has studied Donald Trump.  In the short-run, sanctions relief is definitely one of his goals.  In addition, there is little doubt that the planned May meeting is a ploy on the part of North Korea. Any unlikely peace treaty would require addressing issues regarding the U.S. military’s presence in South Korea and its transfer of wartime operational control to South Korea and United Nations forces in South Korea.

Trump is employing a very high-risk strategy which could backfire spectacularly. Kim Jong Un will never agree to so-called “denuclearization” without major unacceptable concessions by the U.S.  Any concessions will certainly strengthen his regime’s safety externally while ensuring his continuing internal control over the North Korean people.  As one expert on North Korea noted: “Kim wants to portray himself as the bold leader of a normal, peace-loving nuclear power who can meet an American president as equals.” For Kim, the associated propaganda will greatly benefit him on the home front where the current sanctions have had a detrimental impact on the day-to-day lives of North Koreans.  Expect more displays of affection for the regime.

The real danger here is that Trump may be all too willing to concede on a number of important policy matters in order to claim some sort of diplomatic triumph. Donald Trump may perceive himself as a “great negotiator”, but he is no match for the North Koreans.  I suspect that Rex Tillerson recognized this, warned Trump, and subsequently left following his voiced objections.  This is an all too familiar occurrence within Trump’s administration, and can only lead to greater White House problems and internal dissension.

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Does Trump Not Understand Fundamental Principles Behind Multi-lateral Trade?

This past week, President Trump announced (tweet, tweet) that he plans to impose tariffs of 25 percent on imported steel and 10 percent on aluminum. Besides affecting trade with Europe and China, the proposed tariffs would particularly affect Canada and Mexico. Canada is the biggest supplier of steel and aluminum to the U.S., and Mexico is the fourth largest source of steel. Both countries have asked to be excluded, and both indicated that they would strike back if Trump includes them in the stiff duties.  Trump’s basis for imposing such tariffs is on the grounds of national security, arguing that the U.S. cannot rely on foreign imports for steel and aluminum. This rationale in and of itself is totally baseless given existing security arrangements among the three countries and the nature of their integrated economies.

Not only this, Trump’s announcement has thrown a wrench into current negotiations among the three countries respecting the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The Canadian and Mexican teams are absolutely furious, and rightly so.  The steel and aluminum tariff announcement may have just killed off any hopes of advancing on major sticking points at the NAFTA talks, including setting new rules for auto content in the region.  On top of which, Trump has implied that the two countries would not be excluded from the imposition of tariffs unless a new NAFTA deal is made which would benefit the U.S.  Some negotiating tactic!

The problem for the U.S. is that the Americans export as much steel and aluminum to Canada as they import from Canadian manufacturers. The North American market has nicely evolved over decades to allow both countries to develop more specialized sources of steel manufacturing, benefiting both countries.  This is why U.S. businesses and labour unions (e.g. United Steelworkers or USW) are arguing for an exemption from the planned tariffs. The USW, representing steel workers on both sides of the border, even went on record with the following:

Canada is not the problem. The United States and Canada have integrated manufacturing markets and our union represents trade-impacted workers in both nations. In addition, the defense and intelligence relationship between the countries is unique and integral to our security. Any solution must exempt Canadian production. At the same time, Canada must commit to robust enforcement and enhance its cooperation to address global overcapacity in steel and aluminum. …”

Once again, the Trump administration has demonstrated its complete lack of good economic policy, all in the name of political opportunism. We now have an integrated North American market, exemplified by the fact that Canada is the biggest trade partner with the U.S.  The major problem is that there appears to be a complete lack of understanding as to how multi-lateral trade arrangements work in today’s global markets.  Unfortunately, if Trump’s approach continues, then the NAFTA talks will falter much to the detriment of all three countries and to their respective economies.  Consumers will suffer as will workers.  Hopefully, growing American domestic opposition to Trump’s protectionist trade policies will prevail.  One can only hope!

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It’s Time for American Youth to Stand Up for Gun Control

From the 1930s through the 1960s, Saul Alinsky, a tough, pragmatic American activist and a lover of humanity, pioneered a method of helping poor and working-class people organize themselves to improve their communities, especially in crime-ridden Chicago neighbourhoods. He subsequently wrote a book entitled “Rules for Rebels” which highlighted some of the peaceful but assertive ways which allowed ordinary people to push for social change. He would immerse himself in the neighbourhood, listen to ordinary people’s troubles and needs, assess where power lay, and empower previously divided groups to seek common goals by standing up to government and corporate machines.  After the recent South Florida high school shooting and other mass shootings, you could sure use another Saul Alinsky right now.

Perhaps, just perhaps, this latest school shooting is the straw that broke the camel’s back. It was inspiring to see hundreds, if not thousands of young people organizing to protest against the lack of gun control measures in the U.S. and for changes in the gun culture. They are even planning a huge march on Washington. All of this is very good and nice, except as Alinsky would note, you need to start on-going community-based initiatives to effectively influence state and local authorities.  The youth movement must align itself with existing community and state-wide organizations to develop comprehensive and continuous plans of action.  Local, state and federal politicians have to feel the immediate heat.  The movement must use social and main stream media to get its messages out.  It must organize support wherever possible in upcoming federal and state elections for pro-gun control candidates.  There must be open and effective protest.

Do not fool oneself, for any initiatives will have to be organized on a long-term basis. There is little doubt that the National Rifle Association (NRA) and its supporters, including the arms industry, will throw everything except the kitchen sink into a counter campaign, while increasing lobbying at state and federal levels.  However, if history is any indication, further mass shootings will unfortunately occur in the U.S.  Moreover, these youth represent future leaders who must take a concrete stand against organizations such as the NRA and their appalling past and current influence on federal and state governments.

The issue of gun violence in the U.S. has existed for decades, and it will perhaps take decades to halt the evident trends. Hopefully, there are some Saul Alinskys’ among the youth of today.  Those of us who care, must support their cause and peaceful protest.  Otherwise, these horrendous tragedies will simply repeat themselves, year after year after year.

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The “#MeToo” Phenomenon Has Opened the Flood Gates

There is little doubt that claims of sexual harassment in social media have caught the attention of the mainstream media, a number of which are sensational in nature. Now, across the U.S. and Canada, claims of sexual harassment by women and men have been flooding in against politicians, actors, producers, musicians, athletes, trainers, etc., etc. Some claims go back decades, and some are more recent — most frequently involving persons in positions of power. Women in particular have been encouraged by other women and women’s groups to come forward with allegations of past sexual misconduct or assault.  However, in many cases, charges under criminal law have never been laid by the authorities, and often claims were never brought forward by the victims.  Too often, the victims were victimized by the system.  Regularly, it has become a matter of his word against the victim’s word.

Unfortunately, all that one needs to do now is to make accusations via a tweet, e-mail or other social media source. Once out there, such accusations land in the so-called “court of public opinion”.  Moreover, no one has been found guilty in a court of law or accountable by some form of “due process”.  As a result, without further independent investigation, careers can be destroyed and reputations ruined.  Many of the accusations can be found in work-related situations where there may not be any credible, objective and confidential process in place to determine the validity of harassment charges.  Only in recent years have employers been required either by law or through internal policies to institute review processes when harassment claims are made.

However, it appears that both public sector and private sector employers have not been diligent in ensuring that harassment investigation processes are functioning well. Too often, it takes a scandal to become public to bring such inadequacies to the surface.  This situation is no longer acceptable as evidenced by the public’s and shareholders’ outrage.  As well, individuals being openly accused of sexual harassment are being forced to immediately step down from their positions with no access to due process.  As for the alleged victims, one sees increasingly a public “backlash” against some when accusations are simply made through social media without verification as to their validity.  What is now being portrayed as sexual harassment has become so broad that people are beginning to demand greater clarification as to its meaning, and rightly so.

Don’t get me wrong. The fact that the issue of sexual harassment in the workplace has been raised through both social and mainstream media is a good thing.  However, there is obviously a real need for employers to quickly react in positive ways so as to prevent future claims of harassment and to protect employees in their workplaces.  Independent, confidential and just processes must be in place to ensure fairness for both the accuser and the accused.  We’ve seen what happens when unsubstantiated accusations become public.  Indeed, we live in very thorny times.

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Another U.S. Government Shutdown — Is This Anyway to Run a Country?

Well, here we go again! The U.S. federal government is shut down once again, leaving hundreds of thousands of Americans without access to government services across the country and thousands of civil servants without pay. It all seems rather incredulous!  Congress couldn’t agree on a budget needed to keep the government running.  As in the past, Washington politics is playing its usual role. Too often, non-budget related policies are tied into budgetary proceedings, with both federal parties attempting to coerce the other party to support certain political positions.

One could not see this happening in Canada which operates under a parliamentary system. Every year, the Government tables a budget for the following year which is then reviewed in advance by a finance committee in both the House of Commons and the Senate.  Now, the passage of budget bills is considered as a ‘vote of confidence’ in Parliament for the ruling party.  Majority governments normally have little problem passing budgets between elections.  However, in the case of minority governments, failure to secure sufficient votes from the opposition parties will lead to the dissolution of Parliament.  If the opposition parties can agree, they could subsequently form a coalition government.  If not, an election has to be called.  In the interim, the government continues to operate until a new ruling government is formed post-election.  Most importantly, the budgetary process is carried out in an atmosphere of decorum based on past conventions.

The American process on the other hand is carried out with a great deal of incivility by both parties, and in today’s climate by the President. Attempting to garner public support for their position, Congressional parties and the President are blaming the other side for the shut down.  Instead of debating matters in Congress, both sides argue their positions in the main and social media.  The entire process becomes an unruly mess.  What’s worst, Senators and House Representatives continue to be paid, while government workers have to wait to be paid once the shut down is over.  Several social, health and environmental protection services are affected during the duration of any shut down.  Examples of such services are too many to list here.  Unlike under Canada’s parliamentary system, there do not appear to be any real consequences for the governing party in Congress — each vying for political points. Maybe, it’s time to take a non-partisan look at the current budgetary processes.  Otherwise, the American public will have to again endure future government shut downs.

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