FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Is Donald Trump “Xenophobic”?

The Oxford English Dictionary defines xenophobia as “intense or irrational dislike or fear of people from other countries.” For some time now, President Trump has been accused of being a “racist” and more recently as showing signs of xenophobia.  These allegations arose once again because of his tweets on July 13-14 in which he asserted that certain Democratic congresswomen should “go back and help fix the totally broken and crime infested places from which they came.”  Without naming the congresswomen, there is little doubt that he is referring to Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts, and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan. All four are women of colour and American citizens, while only one was not born in the U.S.

One must remember that the phrase “go back to where you came from” has been a standard refrain mostly used by disgruntled white men or women, and certainly by white supremacists. It would appear that Trump’s statements are aimed at a particular element of his base support.  Indeed, New York Mayor Bill de Blasio said that Trump was trying to “gin up his base” by “keeping Americans divided”.  Trump appears to have forgotten that the above-mentioned Representatives were legally elected by a majority of their constituents.  In addition, in a democracy, people have the right to express their views.  Once expressed, people then have the right to openly agree or disagree with them.

I defend the right of the President or anyone else to express their views. Indeed, knowing one’s views is a good way of determining what are their core values and beliefs.  This is a good thing.  How else would one know that Trump is obviously xenophobic!  What is sad that America was built on the blood, sweat and tears of immigrants. Remember as well, the only peoples who can rightly say that this was originally their land are the indigenous peoples of North America. Today, America is a country based on diversity and inclusion. It welcomed people of different races, religions and ethnic backgrounds from many places to participate in the so-called American dream.  This represents the real “greatness” of America.

What Donald Trump is doing is political manoeuvring by a desperate man focused on one thing alone — getting re-elected. He is even willing to undertake this shameful campaign at the expense of some admirable and fundamental American values.  Let’s hope and pray that he is unsuccessful!

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Should Canada Get Into a Trade War With China?

Andrew Scheer, leader of the opposition federal part Conservatives in Parliament, has come out on the national campaign trail swinging against China. He has called for placing tariffs on Chinese imports in retaliation for China’s recent blockage of Canadian agricultural products such as pork and canola. Much of China’s actions have to do with current extradition hearings, requested by U.S. authorities, against Huawei Technologies Co. Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou. Ms. Meng is being held in custody in her Vancouver mansion awaiting the start of these hearings which could take months. In retaliation, China has charged two former Canadian diplomats with espionage and they are being held in detention.

Next to the U.S., China is Canada’s major trading partner. Canada has been pushing for entry into the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, negotiations for which the U.S. withdrew from under President Trump. The TPP would allow Canada to strengthen economic ties with Asian countries and reduce its reliance on the U.S. markets. Then there is Canada’s current relationship with China’s Huawei corporation which is a world leader in wireless technology. Pressure is being put on Canadians by the Americans to limit the involvement of Huawei in their telecommunications sector due to national security concerns.

Prime Minister Trudeau has to be very careful in his government’s approach to China given the potential negative impacts on the Canadian economy. With respect to the two Canadians in Chinese custody, he has correctly obtained the support of Canada’s major allies to put diplomatic pressure on China. However, getting into a trade war with China would not be advisable at this time given that billions of dollars of trade would be at risk. Canada would be better off looking to diversify its trade with other Asian countries such as Vietnam. Vietnam has been Canada’s largest trading partner in the ASEAN region since 2015. In 2017, two-way merchandise trade between Canada and Vietnam reached $6.2 billion, up from $5.5 billion in 2016. In 2017, Canada’s merchandise exports to Vietnam in 2017 amounted to approximately $1.1 billion. India is another country to be seriously considered for trade expansion as Canadian exports to India were over $3 Billion (US) during 2017.

Chinese companies provide Canadians with many affordable goods (just think of Walmart and Dollarama) and trade opportunities. Any move to imposing tariffs would only hurt the average Canadian through increased costs for such goods.  The China-U.S. trade war, which is hurting average Americans, has only further complicated matters.  Yes, there are political and humanitarian concerns with China’s domestic policies, but so are there similar concerns in other industrialized countries. Throwing more gas on the fires is not going to help resolve anything at this time.  As a middle power caught in a dispute between the world’s two largest economies, I would suggest that the Canadian government continue to take a slow, calculated and cautious approach to these issues.

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Senator Kamala Harris Would Make a Good President

Well, a presidential election is scheduled to be held in the fall of 2020. Already, the debates have started among a boatload of Democratic hopefuls in preparation for the upcoming primaries.  Who is going to run against Donald Trump?  Hopefully not the likes of Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders!  It would be nice to see a President who isn’t over the age of 75 and who didn’t carry a lot of baggage.

Right now, I believe that Senator Kamala Devi Harris would be an excellent candidate for a variety of reasons. First and foremost, at 54, she is part of Generation X (those born between 1965 and 1980) which helped to bring in the twenty-first century.  Secondly, she is a woman of  Jamaican or Indian ancestry, reflecting the new diversity with the U.S. population. Although she has no children, she has two adult stepchildren through her marriage making her aware of parental issues affecting today’s youth.

Her professional qualifications provide her with a good foundation for dealing with today’s issues. Since 2017, she has been California’s third female U.S. Senator. Prior to that, Senator Harris served as the San Francisco District Attorney for seven years and as the Attorney General of California for six years.  As a prosecutor, she dealt with numerous high-level cases.

With respect to her progressive policies, she has supported single-payer healthcare, actions on climate change, education reform, federal descheduling of cannabis, municipal protection for undocumented immigrants, the DREAM Act, and lowering the tax burden for the working and middle classes while raising taxes on corporations and the wealthiest one percent of Americans. She is someone who would not rely solely on the military to formulate foreign policy, as is the case now.  Her positions are in sharp contrast to those of President Trump and the Republicans.  Americans need to have a clear choice between two platforms and two visions of what kind of country they want, with no mudding of the waters by the centrists.  Such a contrast was not evident during Hilliary Clinton’s campaign.

If I were Donald Trump’s campaign team, I’d be a lot more concerned about Senator Harris as an opponent than either Sanders or Biden. While he represents the past and the status quo, she represents the potential for a dynamic and new prosperous future for America.

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Trump Administration Puts Us on the Brink of Another Middle East Conflict

The U.S. has blamed Iran for recent attacks on two oil tankers in the vital oil shipping route south of the Strait of Hormuz, a major transit route for oil from Saudi Arabia. However, exactly how and by whom the tankers were attacked has yet to be confirmed.  Iran’s administration denies any involvement, although such proclamations have to be taken with a grain of salt given past Iranian operations in the Middle East and the Gulf. Pending further independent investigation and clarification, we all need to take a deep breath.

The problem is that Trump’s actions employing sanctions on Iranian oil and his other economic pressure tactics has made it difficult for Iran to negotiate or back down by reducing its activities elsewhere in the region. Instead, Iran has responded with its own campaign of maximum pressure. It has threatened to start stockpiling low-level, nonweapons-grade uranium and to close off oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.  Iran is acting like a rattlesnake that is cornered with nowhere to go.  Unless one wants to get bit, one normally would back away slowly and allow the snake to peacefully go its way.

Unfortunately, some hawks in the Trump administration, including National Security Adviser John Bolton, appear to be itching for a military strike on Iran.  Big mistake!  Iran is no Iraq and is quite capable of defending itself militarily.  Sure, military action by the U.S. would be backed by Israel, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.  However, other nations, including those in the European Union, have urged caution and called for restraint. Indeed, France and other European signatories to the nuclear deal with Iran have said they still want to save the accord despite the withdrawal of U.S. support.

The Trump administration’s “all-or-nothing” negotiating approach is rendering Iran more aggressive, not less — with Iran wanting American sanctions to be immediately lifted before proceeding with any negotiations. Trump’s approach to Iran is completely at odds with that taken with respect to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un who, unlike Iran, already has an arsenal of nuclear weapons.  The Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is depicted as the “devil” and the dictator Kim is described by Trump as being a “nice guy”.  Go figure?  Regardless, let’s hope that we’re not once again on the brink of another Middle East conflict!

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Why Should NBA Basketball Fans Get So Much Attention?

In Canada, there has been a hell of a lot of excitement over the Toronto Raptors playing in the NBA final for the first time in club history. This event is doing a lot for young inspiring players in Canada. I have seen it first hand on local basketball courts.  However, recent actions by some so-called fans have unfortunately taken away from the brilliant plays and excitement on the court.

Take for example the inappropriate action by Mark Stevens, a part-owner of the Golden State Warriors, at the third series’ game when he shoved Raptors star player Kyle Lowry who had accidently tumbled into courtside seats. In addition, Stevens who is a billionaire apparently uttered some profanity toward Lowry.  As a result, the Warriers club correctly issued a sincere apology to Lowry. The NBA levied a one-year ban against Stevens from attending any NBA game or Warriors events, also handing him a $500,000 fine.  In Toronto, we have superstar Drake, who of course has courtside seats, openly harassing and berating opposition players during games.  Okay, one pays thousands of dollars for the privilege of sitting courtside, but does this give a fan the right to act in inappropriate ways towards these players?  Subsequently, Drake had to been told to cool it by the league and most-likely by the Raptors club.

Yes, most top NBA players are multi-millionaires. They represent the best of the best.  In addition, three-quarters are Black even though Blacks make up only 12 percent of the American population.  In the U.S. and now in Canada, playing basketball represents one sport which allows many young Black men an opportunity to get a college scholarship and possibly to play professionally in a major sport.  Their achievements should be recognized, celebrated and respected.  As in any sport, team play and sportsmanship should be promoted along with individual skills.

There is no place in amateur or professional sports for unsportsmanlike conduct. Fans, coaches and players must be held to the highest possible standards.  It is unfortunate that such situations as these take away from the play of two excellent teams and the thrill of the games.  Sports are a reflection of our society and its values.  As fans, let’s please keep our participation civil and respectful.

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Now Trump Has Gone Too Far With His Tariff Strategy

U.S. Vice-President Pence just visited Ottawa this week to discuss the ratification of the proposed new North American free trade agreement, which includes Mexico. In order to encourage Canadian ratification of the agreement, the U.S. just lifted its tariffs on Canadian and Mexican steel and aluminum products. Tariffs that should never have been implemented to begin with given the President’s use of ‘national security’ as a justification.  No sooner had these tariffs been lifted, President Trump’s administration placed new tariffs on Mexican imports.  Only this time, Trump is using these tariffs to try to force the Mexicans to do something more about stopping Central American refugees from crossing into the U.S.  Most would agree, including some of Trump’s own advisors, that this tactic will have little effect with respect to the border issue.

Instead, the new tariffs on Mexican products will cause as much economic harm to the Americans as it will to Mexicans. Many goods, including vehicles assembled in Mexico and agricultural goods, will cost American consumers even more. Combined with the recent increases in tariffs on Chinese imports, Americans can be expected to pay even more for consumer products of all kinds.  Remember, at one time about eighty percent of Walmart’s sales inventory involved cheaper Chinese imports.

Recent headlines in The New York Times (May 31, 2019) read: “Things Were Going Great for Wall Street. Then the Trade War Heated Up.” Basically, the article notes that up to now the U.S. economy was going fairly well. However, since the introduction of further tariffs on Chinese goods, the benchmark index of the stock exchange ended down 6.6 percent in May, its first monthly decline of the year and its worst drop since an ugly sell-off at the end of 2018. As well, stock markets in trade-dependent economies such as Canada, Japan, South Korea and Germany also saw steep losses in May. In addition, government bond markets have been sending some of the strongest warning signals.

I have been warning for some time that we could be heading for another major global recession if the U.S. continues its protectionist policies. The President’s use of economic threats and a trade war appears to be unravelling. Many economic indicators in the American economy are showing a growing weakness, despite the current low unemployment rate and high corporate profits. As indicated in the above article, investors are becoming increasingly fixated on any signs that growth is flagging. Consumer debt is high and consumer spending is on the decline in both Canada and the U.S. It just may be that Trump’s tariff strategy has gone too far. There is little doubt that ordinary Americans and Canadians will pay the price under his economic policies.

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With Friends Like the U.S., Who Needs Enemies!

Well, President Trump is at it again. This time he has launched an all out trade war with the second largest economy in the world — China. As of next week, virtually all of the imports from China to the States will be under increased or new tariffs. In turn, the Chinese will retaliate by placing new tariffs on American imports to that country worth billions of dollars.

What does this mean for Canada? The Bank of Canada predicts that the U.S.-China trade war will shave 0.8 percentage points off the Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Already, various Canadian agricultural exports to China, such as granola and soy beans, are down or non-existent because of an extradition request by the Americans and subsequent arrest in Vancouver last December of the Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou of Huawei Technologies Co. The decision to proceed with the extradition process sets in motion proceedings that could drag on for months and possibly years, inviting further retaliation measures by the Chinese government and costing Canadian suppliers billions of dollars. The American request has also resulted in the questionable arrest of Canadian citizens in China by its government.

As a result of the trade war, it is estimated that the U.S. itself could lose a full percentage point off its GDP, possibly costing some 1.5 million jobs. In turn, due to Canada’s close reliance on trade with its partner to the south, the Bank of Montreal predicts that some 150,000 Canadian jobs could be affected down the road by the resulting decline in economic activity between the two countries. In addition, the U.S. continues to refuse to eliminate the existing tariffs on steel and aluminum coming from Canada and Mexico. To date, U.S. refusal to do so has prevented both countries from ratifying the proposed new North American free-trade deal which would benefit all three countries.

Good political, defence, cultural and economic relationships between Canada and the U.S. are longstanding. Hundreds of thousands of Americans and Canadians work and live on both sides of the longest border in the world.  Together, we have made a robust and viable North American economy, with 70 percent of Canada’s trade being with the U.S.  However, this relationship has been damaged by the recent actions of Trump administration, although hopefully not beyond repair.  Under the current circumstances, all one can do is reiterate that with friends like this, who needs enemies!

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Ontario’s Conservative Government is Hurting a Public Education System Already Under Stress

The Ontario government under Premier Ford recently announced budgetary cut-backs to the province’s primary and secondary public schools, including an increase in class sizes over the next four years. There will be fewer teachers for students and the continuation of some specialized classes and after-school programs will be jeopardized.  The cut-backs will particularly affect inner-city kids who have a need for special programs such as English-as-a-second language for immigrant children and additional assistance for disadvantaged and lower income families.

I came up through the Ontario education system which once prided itself on being one of the best in Canada and among industrialized countries, readily available and accessible to kids in both urban and rural settings. Provincial oversight and funding of education ensured that children would have equal access to quality public education wherever they lived.  Teachers became well trained, paid and respected under the system, and rightly so.  After all, the ultimate result was a highly trained and educated labour force which served as a major attraction for national and foreign investment in the province, resulting in a higher standard of living for all.

However, over the years there has been some valid criticism of the product flowing out of primary and secondary schools. Post-secondary institutions are complaining of receiving high school students who are not well prepared for university or college, often lacking the critical thinking and communication capabilities normally required at the post-secondary level.  Unfortunately, what they see is an assembly-line approach to education, based too often solely on the use of testing to measure outcomes.  These higher institutions are frequently required to introduce remedial programs to improve writing and analytic skills of new entrants.

Instead of instilling young people with attributes related to imagination, creativity, comprehension and discovery, schools appear to be more interested in meeting provincial testing standards in order to ensure their future funding. Often such performance standards are based on the percentage of kids graduating with a high school diploma, whether or not this piece of paper is a true testament to their actual capabilities.  Of course, this issue is one which exists elsewhere in Canada and in the U.S.  Instead of undermining the public education system because of short-term budgetary considerations, maybe it’s time to step back and examine just what values and qualities will help our children to live full, successful and meaningful lives in the long-term.

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Little Doubt the Climate Change Affects Economies

Wild winter and mid-spring storms in the American mid-west, wild fires on the West Coast, major overland flooding in Eastern Canada and extreme winter temperatures are just a few of the climate impacts affecting the North American economy. This past year has seen numerous climate-related catastrophes which have caused serious problems for several industrial sectors, including transportation, tourism, agriculture, forestry, insurance, etc., etc.  Several large corporations have taken a hit to their bottom lines, including Canadian Pacific Railways Ltd., United Parcel Service Inc., Tim Hortons Restaurants, Disney Enterprises and Air Canada.

No one can estimate exactly how much these climate events are actually costing our economies, but a rough guess would be in the billions of dollars annually to both the private and public sectors. However, we are all paying for limiting the damage, recovery and restoration activities and higher insurance premiums.  Governments are forced to allocate increasing funds to enhanced emergency services and disaster assistance to victims.  Then there is the lost in productivity due to temporary business shutdowns and loss of workforce in the aftermath of the destruction to communities and businesses, not to forget the regretful but inevitable loss of life.

Such extreme climate events appear to be becoming the norm. Governments, industries, communities and people are going to have to adapt and adjust behaviours in order to cope with this new reality.  The impact on existing infrastructure has been especially significant and costly, and will now require major investments.  People may have to move from vulnerable regions such as flood plains and potential wild fire areas.  Enhanced building codes will have to be developed and implemented, just as they are in zones prone to earthquakes.  New technologies will have to be developed to assist in preparing for and alleviating the negative outcomes associated with climate change, including those related to agriculture.

A fundamental question is just who should pay for the needed changes — tax payers, individual households or corporations? Indeed, the insurance industry has now formally recognized the impact of climate change and its associated societal costs.  Can we afford to ignore these costs.  If we do so, it’s at our own peril!  By the way, if one still doesn’t believe in climate change, one might want to check out the web site for the Canadian Center for Climate Services.

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Winter May Be Over, But Crazy Weather Isn’t

There are two things that most of us can’t avoid: taxes and the weather. In my neck of the woods in Canada, we have endured a long and hard winter from mid-November to mid-April. We seemed to be breaking a record almost every other day — be it for temperatures or different forms of precipitation such as snow, sleet and freezing rain. Meanwhile, extreme weather patterns were reported across the U.S. and in different parts of the world. The headline statement in a recent federal report, commissioned by Environment and Climate Change Canada, indicated that Canada has warmed “twice as fast” as the entire planet since 1948. Boy, it sounds like we’re in big trouble now!

Despite numerous international reports confirming some form of climate change, there are still nay-sayers running around with their heads in the sand. Anything that affects the climate affects us all.  Every sector of our economy is affected, be it agriculture, tourism, transportation, insurance, manufacturing, energy, etc., etc.  We have seen an increase in damaging floods, droughts, fires, tornadoes, cyclones, hurricanes, etc., etc.  You can’t turn on the evening news broadcasts without at least one story being about a severe weather event.

Already, many communities and industries are beginning to prepare and adjust for future climate change. From an economic and survival point of view, they have no choice.  This represents the greatest challenge to humans, and ignoring or denying it does no one any favours — while doing so is at one’s peril. Yet, here we have a leader of the world’s wealthiest nation and biggest contributor to greenhouse emissions, simply looking the other way.  Instead, blind policies are implemented that will even make the situation worst, all in the name of populism.

On top of which a new World Bank report concludes that climate change will transform more than 143 million people into “climate migrants” escaping crop failure, water scarcity, and sea-level rise.  For example, many of the migrants from Central America fleeing to the north are farmers who can no longer eek out a sustainable living because of the impact of climate change on their farmlands. So while I might complain in the comfort of my home about the miserable weather we’ve been having, my circumstances are nothing compared to the misery facing many populations around the world.  Think about it!

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