FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Oct 15

Entering Critical Stage In The Battles Against COVID-19

by bcurry

In North America, we have entered a critical stage in the battles against COVID-19 which some are referring to as the “second wave”.  We have only to see what is happening as part of the second wave in Europe.  With an average of more than 100,000 new infections per day over the past week, Europe now accounts for about one-third of new cases reported worldwide.  Countries such as Britain, France, Spain, Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, and even Russia have had to reintroduce restrictions on travel among regions and various forms of lockdowns and curfews.  European leaders are now confronting an evident surge in coronavirus cases that is rapidly filling hospital beds.

In U.S. federal elections, the surging rise in coronavirus cases across the country, especially in the Midwest, has taken front and center stage in the campaigns.  The public health crisis could reach new levels of urgency by Inauguration Day.  Recent projections show that, if current trends hold, as many as 400,000 Americans may have died from Covid-19 by then.  Unfortunately, President Trump and his allies continue to downplay the virus, arguing that the country is “turning the corner”.  Trump and Vice-Presdent Pence are holding campaign events with thousands of supporters in attendance, even as cases are increasing rapidly.  In Canada, coronavirus cases have risen in the last month to surpass levels above those seen at the height of COVID-19 last spring.  Provincial governments across the country are reintroducing numerous restrictions on travel between regions and varying degrees of lockdowns.  The Prime Minister has declared that the border with the U.S. will remain closed to non-essential travelers as long as the number of COVID-19 cases continues to increase in Canada and the U.S.

With governments’ restrictions on businesses and gatherings in the U.S., Canada and in Europe, there are complaints by some as to their impact on the economy and employment.  However, unless people once again take the situation seriously and are no longer complacent after the past summer of fewer restrictions, countries will find it harder to effectively confront the surge in coronavirus cases that is rapidly filling hospital beds and subsequently driving up death tolls.  Health care systems and workers are being stretched to their limits now, although the seasonal flu season has not yet begun in earnest.  More schools will be required to close and more people will be forced to withdraw from their work to provide child care and home schooling. 

Various precautions have to be taken such as: limiting our social activities to our immediate households, wearing masks in public, physically distancing wherever possible, washing our hands frequently, getting the seasonal flu vaccine, traveling only for essential purposes and avoiding contact outside the household with persons having underlying health conditions except when providing an essential service.  Folks: to undertake this sacrifice is not asking too much under the circumstances and will benefit the community at large.  Unless each of us takes such measures, the second wave of this pandemic will only get worse.  As our leaders and public health officials often reiterate, we are all in this together, whether you like it or not!

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Oct 8

Politics and the Tragic Story of U.S. CDC in Tackling COVID-19

by bcurry

On October 7th, it was reported that U.S. coronavirus cases surpassed 7.5 million with most states seeing a rise in cases and a startling nine states setting ominous, seven-day records for infections.  Even these numbers may not reflect the reality given that the nation’s patchwork pandemic response has led to wide disparities in data reporting.  There are apparently even differences in definitions for basic medical concepts.  In the absence of federal standards, states have also adopted divergent and sometimes scientifically questionable approaches to disease control.

Where has the leadership role of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) been in all of this during the past nine months?  William Foege, a renowned epidemiologist who served under Democratic and Republican presidents, detailed in a recent private letter to CDC Director Robert Redfield (obtained by USA TODAY) what he considered as the White House’s meddling in the agency’s efforts to manage the COVID-19 crisis.  He reflected what a number of Director Redfield’s predecessors at the CDC strongly believe have been serious failures in the administration’s coronavirus response. Dr. Foege expressed how many scientists and experts feel about the CDC’s failure.  Moreover, Dr. Foege’s letter lamented that “the CDC’s scientific experts have been rendered impotent during the most significant health crisis in a century while decades of experience have been ignored.” He concluded: “This will go down as a colossal failure of the public health system of this country.”

Here in Canada, the CDC has had an excellent reputation for its work in the past and government bodies such as the Public Health Agency of Canada and Health Canada have interacted on health issues with the CDC on numerous occasions.  Now, the CDC’s scientific reputation has unfortunately been tainted because of the administration’s actions and its failure to provide national science-based standards in addressing COVID-19 issues and to help develop applicable national policies. 

In a virtual event held by American University, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious diseases expert, recently said that as many as 400,000 Americans could die from COVID-19 if action isn’t taken in the fall and winter.  Dr. Fauci acknowledged that there was the decreasing trust in him as a public official, especially in light of mixed coronavirus messages coming out of the CDC.  President Trump’s frequent attacks on the CDC’s integrity and several renown scientists have done nothing to help matters.  In direct contradiction of the experts and the CDC, Trump persists in stating that a vaccine will be available in the very near.  However, experts and researchers have asserted that a vaccine will probably not be available to most Americans until next summer or the fall at the earliest.  Once again, Trump is attempting to undermine the expert advice of the CDC and others for political reasons to the detriment of all Americans.  What a shame!

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Oct 6

Mr. President, Airborne Transmission of COVID-19 Has Been Known for Sometime

by bcurry

This week, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) finally acknowledged that the coronavirus can spread through microscopic respiratory particles known as aerosols that float in the air for minutes or even hours before being inhaled.  The CDC added a warning against frequenting crowded, poorly ventilated indoor spaces.  As a result, the CDC has long recommended that masks be worn when near others and are useful both indoors and outdoors for preventing the spread of the virus.

Why is this message important?  One has only to look at the big news of the week wherein it was reported that President Trump had tested positive for COVID-19, along with his wife and over a dozen of his top advisors and White House staff.  There was a lot of speculation about how the coronavirus was spread, given the number of events where the President and his entourage were involved in over the last month.  Some believe that airborne transmission may have occurred at the Sept. 26th White House Supreme Court nomination ceremony for Judge Amy Coney Barrett.  The event included a large gathering outside in the Rose Garden and a smaller indoor reception.  As was the usual White House scene, photographs show that in both locations few people wore masks and that social distancing guidelines were not widely followed.  There were also reports that the participants were really close to each other, they were hugging each other, and they were shaking hands.

Wow, why would anyone be surprised that the President, his wife and others, including reporters, tested positive after such events!  Talk about a total disregard by this administration for the health of others.  For months, the CDC and researchers have been advocating various precautions that need to be taken to avoid becoming infected with the coronavirus.  Most leaders in other countries, including here in Canada, have implement stringent guidelines to ensure the health and safety of their families and senior staff.  Those who did not introduce precautionary measures such as masks, like the U.K.’s Boris Johnson back in March, saw the consequences.  The virus ripped its way through the top levels of the U.K. government — infecting ministers and senior advisers.  Like Donald Trump, Mr Johnson was admitted to hospital — although Downing Street stressed this was “a precautionary step”.  Shortly after his hospitalization came the shocking news that his condition had “worsened”, and the Prime Minister had to be moved to the intensive care unit.  Fortunately, he survived.

While President Trump is now out of hospital, some expert medical practitioners have stated that he is not yet out of the woods.  Unfortunately, the same prognosis could be true for the infected White House staff and reporters.  Meanwhile, much of his administration is in quarantine for up to ten days or more.  Still, Trump has arrogantly declared that people shouldn’t fear the coronavirus.  Maybe, he would like to tell that to the over 200,000 Americans that to date have died from this virus!

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Sep 4

A September That No One Will Ever Forget!

by bcurry

Well, here we are.  We’ve almost survived the summer of COVID-19 and are anxiously awaiting to see that the fall has to offer.  Kids are going back to schools for the most part across the continent.  Parents are as anxious as ever for their safety.  Already, there are signs that troubled waters lie ahead, especially on college campuses.  While the coronavirus outbreaks are relatively under control in Canada, the same cannot be said for the U.S.  Community cases continue to emerge in the mid-west and in California.  Over six million COVID-19 cases have to date been confirmed in the U.S., making it statistically the leading country in the pandemic, ahead of such countries as Brazil and India.

In the meantime, the U.S. is preparing itself for a presidential election which everyday is becoming nastier and nastier.  Donald Trump will keep on tweeting right up to election day and will continue to use scare tactics and conspiracy theories to justify his position.  There is no doubt that this will be the weirdest American election of all time — virtual or not.  As a long-time student of American political history, this should be one for the books — and there are plenty of those already starting to emerge.

As far as the North American economies go, tougher times are expected.  As of mid-August, more than 29 million Americans were receiving some sort of unemployment insurance.  In Canada, although there was a labour market improvement in August, that may not be as robust as headlines suggest.  The fact is that most of the job gains have been due to the return of workers, especially part-timers, who became unemployed during the early stages of the pandemic.  The damage to both economies has been wide and deep.  Economic growth is in negative territory and is not expected to improve substantively for some time, perhaps years.  The two big risks for the recovery remain the uncertainty around back-to-school plans and the onset of colder weather which will also bring in the normal influenza season and potential second waves of COVID-19.

There appear to be two economies in both countries, that of wall street and that of main street.  The average American and Canadian is struggling to pay their bills, make mortgage payments and put food on the table.  The rich on the other hand are just getting wealthier, exacerbating the already established inequalities in society.  A huge question remains as to how long government assistance can continue?   The U.S. debt is set to exceed the size of the economy next year, a first Since World War II.  The federal debt held by the public projected to reach or exceed 100% of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).  In Canada, the combined debt level of all governments is poised to surge to an unprecedented $1.9 trillion or 85% of GDP.

The fact of the matter is that the only way that both economies can improve is by first getting COVID-19 outbreaks under control and, as experts note, by flattening the curve related to community spread.  In the meantime, school re-openings will no doubt test the resolve for both parents and politicians alike.

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Sep 1

Difficulty of Lying in the Face of U.S. Statistics on Coronavirus Cases

by bcurry

All too often Donald Trump has claimed that the country’s stats on coronavirus are exaggerated and not to be believed.  This is in the direct contradiction to the fact that U.S. coronavirus cases approached 6 million this past week.  The most recent rise in confirmed new cases is attributed to the situation in the Midwest, especially resulting from students returning to college campuses and not taking the applicable precautions.  In addition, experts agree that coronavirus-related deaths will most likely reach the 200,000 mark by the end of September.  Indeed, some sources believe that the current statistics are very likely an “underestimation” because of lack of timely reporting by several states.  Unfortunately, the President’s claims are contributing to the belief by some, especially his supporters, that the spread and dangers of COVID-19 is all a “hoax”.

Then there is the recent assertion by one of President Trump’s top medical advisers who is urging the White House to embrace a controversial ‘herd immunity’ strategy to combat the pandemic.  This strategy would entail allowing the coronavirus to spread through most of the population to quickly build resistance to the virus, while taking steps to protect those in nursing homes and other vulnerable populations.  The approach’s chief proponent is Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist from Stanford’s conservative Hoover Institution, who joined the White House earlier this month as a pandemic adviser.  He has advocated that the US adopt the model Sweden used in response to its virus outbreak, which of course led to Sweden having the highest coronavirus-related death rate among all Scandinavian countries — more than three times the combined total of Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland.  Although Sweden did not implement the degree of control measures taken by most countries, its economy has faired no better than other Scandinavian countries.  Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, says aiming for herd immunity would lead to an “enormous” death toll.  Even the World Health Organization has warned against pinning hopes on herd immunity.

Then there is the issue of rushing out a Covid-19 vaccine before it has been proven to be safe and effective.  President Trump is reportedly considering plans to put out a vaccine before it has been fully tested, claiming a vaccine could be available before the end of this year.  The majority of international experts, including Dr. Fauci, have warned against prematurely letting a vaccine out.  Without completing the essential clinical trials, any rushed vaccine would make it difficult, if not impossible, for the other vaccines to enrol people in their trials.  People and public health officials want the usual trials completed to ensure the safety of any vaccine.  Researchers are hopeful that a vaccine will become available perhaps sometime in 2021 at the earliest.  Its eventual use should not be driven by political considerations, but instead by science.  In the meantime, the emphasis should be placed on continuing to adhere to the precautionary measures already put in place by public health authorities across the country.

Please Mr. President, stop lying about the current status of the war on COVID-19 and listen to the reputable medical and scientific experts.  Tell the American people the truth in order to obtain their support and assistance in preventing the further spread of this deadly disease.  The time for action and honesty is now!

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Aug 16

Postal Service Is More Than Just Delivering Mail

by bcurry

In many rural American and Canadian communities in particular the only contact with the federal government is the local post office. People rely on the postal service to deliver their old age security cheques, medical prescriptions and devices, food stamps, and now mail-in ballots for the next American elections.  Rural community offices serve as a gathering point and source of stability, employment and a critical link to the rest of the world.  Up to now, American experts and employees believed that the Postal Service was still capable of operating as usual. However, under the Trump administration all that has changed with blatantly obvious cutbacks to the postal service under the new Postmaster General Louis DeJoy, a Republican megadonor to President Trump. Incidentally, he has no previous experience at all with any postal service. The President has argued that the purpose of Mr. DeJoy’s appointment is to make the postal service great once again — a recurring theme.

Among claims being made by employees and citizens are that postal boxes have been removed from certain key locations, mail-sorting machines were removed from processing centers, drivers are being sent out according to set schedules whether or not all of the morning’s mail is ready for them, and increasingly limits have been placed on working overtime or overtime has been eliminated. Today, citizens are complaining more about increasing delays in the receipt of mail and packages than had been the case a few months ago. This apparently is not just about the fact that the service is already short on staff because of quarantines and the coronavirus outbreak.

Instead, what it is about is the fact that the President does not want the states to rely on mail-in ballots for the election and continues to argue that, without substantive evidence of any kind, mail-in ballots lead to fraud. While nearly a quarter of Americans voted absentee or by mail in 2016, millions more are expected to mail their ballots this year because of the coronavirus crisis.  Polls have shown that two-thirds of Democratic supporters intent to vote by mail due to the pandemic compared to one-third of Republican supporters.  This could offer an advantage to Trump should there be serious delays in the receipt of mail-in ballots. Due to the recent cuts in service, the Postal Service has already warned states that it may not be able to meet their deadlines for delivering last-minute ballots.

Yes, as in Canada, the U.S. postal service has to adapt to the realities of a new era driven by major technological advances and competing delivery services. However, is this the right time to be making major changes when so many citizens, especially vulnerable persons, are even more dependent than ever on essential mail deliveries because of isolation due to the pandemic?  Or is this just another political ploy by a desperate Trump administration in advance of the upcoming elections?  Do the administration’s actions justify hurting millions of Americans, especially those in rural communities?  Perhaps there is significant danger in this tactic where many of Trump’s rural supporters may become disillusioned and either not vote altogether or vote for Democratic candidates.  Hopefully, Congress will look into the matter more closely.  Time will tell.

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Aug 9

Should You Send Your Child Back to School in the U.S.? — Probably Not!

by bcurry

With over 5 million confirmed cases of coronavirus and almost 165,000 related fatalities in the U.S., the nation now stands out statistically as the leading country for the consequences of the disease. What is most alarming however is the increasing number of younger people, including children, who have tested positive for COVID-19 and have been hospitalized.  To date, of the millions of cases reported in the U.S., about 265,000 were in children 17 and under — almost 5%. Unlike what President Trump asserts, children are not “virtually immune” to the virus.

Indeed, according to a recent study by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 570 kids who tested positive were diagnosed with a rare condition, which CDC calls multisystem inflammatory syndrome. Ten of the children died as a result of the condition. What is more troubling, the CDC reported that Hispanic children were hospitalized at a rate eight times higher than white kids, and Black children were hospitalized at a rate five times higher. Some of this is attributable to children living in poverty and a lack of access to regular health-care. To date, the experts have concluded that genetics appears to have nothing to do with why some racial and ethnic groups are more likely to be infected by the virus, get seriously sick from it or die from it.

What does this all mean for the average American family? Simply put, with thousands of new confirmed cases being reported daily in the several states from California to Florida, the thought that communities are ready to send kids back to school is scary. To date, where kids have started high school for example, coronavirus outbreaks have occurred all too often.  Anecdotal evidence shared through social media has displayed a lack of physical distancing being practiced by students and school staff, no masks being worn and inappropriate group activities being carried out.  Coronavirus-related problems have also popped up in kids’ summer camps, again raising red flags.

Let us not forget that while kids are considered generally less likely to have serious symptoms when they’re infected, they can in turn transmit the coronavirus within the community at large. In some cases, transmission can occur with respect to vulnerable populations, whether at home or within the community. Given the science to date and resulting studies, Americans should pause about opening schools until the overall number of community cases begin to decline and the so-called curve is flattened. More resources have to be provided urgently to implement the necessary precautions and health-care, particularly in poorer school districts. Yes, it is certainly desirable from a mental health and socialization perspective to have children back in schools. However, community leaders should understand that they are potentially talking about putting children in unsafe situations.

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Jul 19

To Go to School or Not to Go?

by bcurry

As we approach the beginning of another school year, there are still a lot of questions about the health and safety of staff and students during the pandemic. At this time the pros and cons are pretty evenly divided.  There are those who want to delay the return and continue home schooling.  There are those, possibly a majority of parents, who want their children to attend school five days a week.  Then there are those who support a modified school week, perhaps with students going two days a week, and doing on-line learning during the other two days.  Schools would do deep cleaning during the fifth day.  Transportation to and from the schools will have to be reviewed and restrictions implemented to protect school-bus drivers and commuting students alike.

Then one has the psychologists who believe that children should return to full school weeks with the applicable safety measures in place in the classroom and on the school grounds. This would include physical distancing (e.g. desks 6 feet apart) and teachers wearing personal protective equipment (e.g. masks, gloves, hand sanitizers).  The psychologists argue that being in school will improve a child’s mental health and socialization.  Educators also now believe that on-learning learning is no substitute for classroom instruction, as demonstrated by their experience during the last few months.

Next, we have the working parents who want to return to work and have no child-care alternatives available, particularly in light of the cost and lack of appropriate child-care nationally. If any further reopening of the economy is to effectively proceed, working parents need to have their children in school for five days at least.  In addition, children with special needs have greatly been affected by the lost of in-school services and learning assistance.  Most parents cannot afford to provide private assistance to children with learning disabilities.

Finally, there are the concerns of associations representing teachers and staff in the schools. All are concerned that sufficient health and safety measure will be in place, including much needed PPE and physical distancing measures. In order to implement such measures effectively, some teachers’ unions are proposing that additional teachers and staff be hired.  Those teachers with underlying health issues may even refuse to return to school, despite applicable preventative measures being implemented.  This reluctance is especially understandable if the coronavirus infection rates do not level off as was hoped by public health officials.

There is little time left for school authorities to decide one way or another about reopening the schools. Pressures are emerging from everywhere and the issues are complicated, especially in anticipation of a potential second wave of COVID-19 in the fall.  Local, county, state and provincial school authorities will soon have to disclose their final decisions in order to allow parents and students to prepare for the reopening.  Simply stating that schools should be reopened is not enough!

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Jul 15

What’s the Priority – Reopening Bars or Preventing the Spread of COVID-19?

by bcurry

The city of Montreal was and continues to be a hotspot when it comes to the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Canada. Nevertheless, Quebec provincial officials decided to go ahead and allow the reopening of bars in the Montreal area. Well, needless-to-say, the result was reports of possible serious outbreaks at a handful of bars in the Montreal area. So serious that public health officials called on thousands of young adults to get checked out if they’ve been to a Montreal area bar in the past month. Of course, with the increase in testing, officials found more cases of coronavirus among bar employees and patrons — this despite inadequate testing capacity in Montreal. What does the province do? It doesn’t shut them down. Instead, the province announced new regulations for bars, including earlier closing times and decreased capacity. In addition, bars are included in Quebec’s mandatory mask regulations which go into effect only on July 18th.

So let’s look at the U.S. where the numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases are skyrocketing particularly in the southern states where bars remained open for sometime, most notably in Florida and Texas. In addition, both states are especially seeing cases skyrocketing among young people.  Some healthcare professionals have called crowded indoor bar scenes across the country the perfect breeding grounds for the virus. After all, despite putting in place some preventative measures, it is still quite difficult to have people maintain physical distancing when a good deal of alcohol is being consumed. As a result and in light of an obvious emergency, state authorities had no choice but to close indoor bars and nightclubs for a second time across Florida and Texas.

This brings us back to the initial question as to whether reopening bars and nightclubs is a priority versus taking all necessary measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19? It would appear that the answer is a no-brainer.  Not only can the patrons and employees become more readily infected, many of those who are young can suffer serious health consequences.  Just ask the Italian health experts who now have warned that the virus is a systemic infection that affects all the organs of the body — not, as was previously thought, just a respiratory disease. Increasingly, younger people are being hospitalized in Canada and the U.S. as a result of the virus. Italian studies have identified psychosis, insomnia, kidney disease, spinal infections, strokes, chronic tiredness and mobility issues in former coronavirus patients, even some who were asymptomatic. The doctors further warn that some victims may never recover from the illness and that all age groups are vulnerable. The warnings come amid growing concerns in northern Italy that a second wave of the virus could be imminent.

Can bars and nightclubs be considered as essential services when compared to grocery stores and pharmacies? In order to make the reopening of businesses as safe as possible, the authorities are going to have to make some tough but necessary decisions as to which businesses should remain open or reopen taking into consideration the rate of confirmed cases and hospitalizations. Priorities have to be set based on the health and safety concerns for the general population, which in itself has important economic consequences. In my opinion, keeping bars and nightclubs in business should be the least of our concerns and should be reflected in current and future state or provincial policies.

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Jul 10

As COVID-19 Cases Rise — Let’s Just Not Release the Statistics!

by bcurry

With currently over 3 million confirmed cases and over 135,000 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S., the highest among Western industrialized countries, one cannot deny that the incidence of coronavirus outbreaks is at alarming levels. There are records being broken every day, the most recent indicating that the U.S. had over 60,000 new confirmed cases in one day. A major increase of cases has hit Florida, including in Volusia County, a stretch of central Florida coastline that includes Daytona Beach and other popular destinations. Overnight on July 9th, Florida reported a record-breaking 120 new coronavirus deaths.  Mike Chitwood, the sheriff of Volusia County, has been gathering COVID-19 statistical updates for the county provided by the state’s Department of Health. As the chief law enforcement official in Volusia County, he believed it was his responsibility to provide more transparency, while guarding the privacy of individual cases. Such information was deemed especially helpful to first responders, including police officers, firefighters and emergency medical personnel dealing with the outbreak.

Florida’s Governor, Ron DeSantis, a Republican, has been criticized for his handling of the coronavirus outbreak. This ambitious 41-year-old, who apparently some believe will run for president in 2024, is a pal and ally of President Trump. However, DeSantis has consistently received among the lowest approval ratings of any state governor in the nation for his coronavirus response. The narrative of DeSantis has been that Florida was defeating the disease — a narrative that is now in tatters. It appears that earlier in the week state health officials informed Sheriff Chitwood’s office that they would no longer provide him or any other county-level officials with COVID-19 data updates for Volusia County.

It was obvious to Sheriff Chitwood that the “statewide directive” against any further sharing of such data was an attempt to hide the numbers from the public. Even with the data, he believed that the numbers provided weren’t always completely accurate. However, two days after the Sheriff announced that the state had abruptly cut him off from data about local cases of coronavirus infections, state health authorities reversed their course by agreeing to continue providing the information. The reversal was no doubt the result of public disclosure in the wake of social media outrage and irate attention from media outlets.

Such withholding of coronavirus-related data is reprehensible and inexcusable! The authorities have an obligation to inform the public of health risks in their community so that they can take the appropriate precautions.  Transparency on the part of health authorities is essential to dealing with the pandemic, and should never be influenced by political considerations as was described in the above case.  In Canada, COVID-19 statistics are daily released by the Public Health Agency of Canada and is reported daily on media outlets.  Canada’s Chief Public Health Officer of Canada is in close contact with provincial and territorial Chief Medical Officers of Health to ensure that any cases of COVID-19 occurring in Canada continue to be rapidly identified and managed in order to protect the health of Canadians. Any attempt at political interference by local, provincial or federal authorities would be met with strong condemnation.  Whether good or bad, citizens and local officials have the right to know what is happening as a result of this pandemic.

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