FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Nov 1

Right-Wing Extremism Is A Growing Concern In North American Communities

by bcurry

On October 27th of this year, the deadliest attack on Jews in the history of the United States took place at a synagogue in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This horrendous event is being treated as a hate crime against Jews.  On January 29, 2017, a young male fatally shot six people at a mosque in Quebec City’s Sainte-Foy neighbourhood. This was also seen by authorities as a hate crime against Muslims. In both cases, the shooters were influenced one way or another by right-wing extremism. On August 11, 2018, several Montrealers joined an ultra-right torch march through Charlottesville, Virginia, blending into a crowd that chanted ‘Blood and soil’ and ‘Jews will not replace us’. The participating Canadians were suspected as being connected to a neo-Nazis movement in North America and involved with La Meute, the largest far-right organization in Quebec.

The current Liberal government in Canada is so concerned about the rise in far-right movements in Canada that it has committed to providing $23 million over two years for multicultural programs and cross-country consultations on racism. Moreover, police-reported hate crimes have been on the rise in recent years in both countries.  For example, anti-Semitic incidents rose more than 50 percent in 2017 in the U.S. Hundreds of far-right groups with thousands of active members in Canada and the U.S. have been growing online and offline. Unfortunately, statements by President Trump and the tone set at his campaign rallies have done nothing to discourage the activities of far-right groups who are primarily responsible for hate crimes against Muslims, Jews and migrants.

One of the lasting effects of the violence in Charlottesville was its blow to the far-right’s ability to raise money and spread propaganda online. The follow-up exposure of the Quebec participants revealed their identities, ended up in some losing their jobs and friends, and forced them to drop out of the movement. Anti-fascist groups have also increasingly emerged to demonstrate against ultra-right extremists wherever they appear, sometimes unfortunately resulting in violent confrontations.  The fact is that there is a fine line between protecting ‘free speech’ and preventing ‘hate speech’.

Nevertheless, it would appear that the majority of Americans and Canadians want their governments to take a stronger stance against extremism, no matter what kind. However, the emergence of ultra-right extremism and resulting increases in hate crimes against particular groups have become a major concern for authorities on both sides of the border.  As citizens, we also have to remain vigilant and aware of hate-related activities within our communities.  As evidenced in Charlottesville, Pittsburgh and Quebec City, no community is immune to the influence of militant extremist groups, especially the young and vulnerable. By promoting love, respect and tolerance, each of us must do whatever it takes to address any groups promoting hate in our communities.  We cannot afford to ignore the existence of extremism.

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Oct 22

The Global Arms Trade Will Always Overshadow Human Rights

by bcurry

There is a lot of international outrage over the killing by Saudi Arabian agents of the Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi. There has also been anger by human rights groups against the Saudis over atrocities committed against the people in Yemen, mainly with the use of Western supplied military equipment, ammunition and bombs.  To no one’s surprise, President Trump was slow to condemn the Saudis in the murder of Khashoggi, especially in light of over $8 billion in weapons purchases from the U.S.  In 2013, concerns had previously been raised about Canada’s decision to sell armoured vehicles to Saudi Arabia, which reportedly used them to help crack down on protesters in neighbouring Bahrain during the 2011 Arab Spring. Given that the production of the light armoured vehicles comes from a plant in London, Ontario, the Canadian government today continues to supply them to Saudi Arabia on a contract worth between $13 and $15 billion, despite that country’s recent well documented human rights abuses. Unfortunately, the previous Conservative government under Prime Minister Harper used the sale as an initial start to transform Canada into a global arms dealer. Canada began looking to the Middle East and South America for potential contracts as the U.S., Britain and other traditional customers cut defence spending.

The global arms trade represents a multi-billion dollar industry, involving most advanced countries who are particularly interested in selling weapons to developing countries. This especially includes weapons sold from several key countries.  Russia, as a dominant power in the global arms market, saw orders for its weapons totaling over $11 billion in sales in 2015. Latin American nations, in particular Venezuela, had become a focus of marketing for Russian arms.  In the same year, China reached $6 billion in weapons sales, up from its 2014 total of over $3 billion.  Also, among arms manufacturers that are NATO allies, Germany has found success in marketing naval systems to the developing world.  Britain has done the same with warplanes, and France weapons deals increased by well over $9 billion. Other major global arms suppliers are Sweden, Italy, Turkey, and Israel. The U.S. ranked first in global weapons sales in 2015, signing deals for about $40 billion, or half of all agreements in the worldwide arms bazaar.

Canada remains the only member of NATO and the G7 that has not signed the United Nations Arms Trade Treaty (ATT), which aims to regulate the trade in armaments — from handguns to tanks.  In 2018, Canada’s Federal Government finally introduced proposed legislation to join the ATT. However, Parliamentary opposition argue the bill contains no assurances that the weapons could not then be transferred to countries that abuse human rights, including Saudi Arabia.

President Trump and Prime Minister Trudeau are typical of leaders who have no scruples about selling weapons to countries with poor human rights records. Is it enough to say that stopping the flow of arms to Saudi Arabia is not an option, since other countries will simply step in to fill the gap — thereby depriving both countries of manufacturing jobs and billions in contracts? Despite the ATT, this position is why the global arms trade will continue to overshadow human rights.

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Sep 10

Populist Movement is on the Rise in Europe — Watch Out!

by bcurry

Populism is not easy to define since the roots of its success are varied, and its adherents do not represent a single ideology, even if they all criticize uncontrolled migration, especially of Muslims. However, the Europe Union (EU) is seeing a rise of populist movements in one form or another, unfortunately much of the ultra-right, nationalist and anti-migrant variety.  Four countries of the EU’s east that make one anxious — Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia — are all now led by populists of one stripe or another.  Last year in Austria, Sebastian Kurz became chancellor after running a populist campaign that even co-opted the anti-immigration message of the far-right Austrian Freedom Party.  He wants to place EU border guards in Africa in an effort to stop migrants from crossing the Mediterranean.

Even in the socialist democracy of Sweden, there is a growing right-wing populist movement. Supported by almost 20 percent of voters, the Sweden Democrats, a nationalist party with neo-Nazi roots, made major gains in the elections held on September 9th.  The party’s platform is representative of those of other European populist parties.  They focus overwhelmingly on migrants, mainly from Muslim countries, who they blame for a surge in sex attacks on women, riots in the suburbs and extra pressure on the welfare system.  They also want to follow Britain out of the EU.

This follows earlier election results this year in Italy where about half of the Italian electorate voted for populist parties once considered fringe. Italian voters appear to be disaffected and angry, fearful of hundreds of thousands of recently arrived migrants from the other side of the Mediterranean and fed up with a lack of opportunities, the perceived corruption of elites and the inefficacy of the ruling centrist government.  However, the fact that Italy has vast economic problems — including the largest public debt in the EU and very high youth unemployment — may have more to do with the rise in its populist movement.

Other EU countries are by no means out of the woods. President Emmanuel Macron of France and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany are in a tough fight politically to deal with the growth of populism within their own countries.  They both need support for fixing Europe’s fractured asylum and migration policies which are behind much of the popularity of the populist movements.  Unfortunately, the former region of East Germany has recently seen ultra-right neo-Nazi demonstrations which are illegal under existing German law.

In the meantime, while all this is going on in Europe, populist movements continue to grow politically in the U.S. and Canada following the election of President Trump. Moreover, Canada has recently seen the emergence of populist politics in some provincial electoral campaigns. Even at the federal level there is the potential of a new party questioning current support for policies encouraging multiculturalism and diversity.  Watch out Canada! Just pay attention to what’s happening south of our border and in Europe.

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Jul 26

If Tariffs Are “So Great”, How Come Trump Appears To Be Backing Off?

by bcurry

President Donald Trump backed off his threat to levy tariffs on cars imported to the U.S. from the E.U. during a recent meeting with European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker. It appears that Trump had warned that he would move forward with 25 percent tariffs on auto imports if the meeting with Juncker didn’t go well, prompting the E.U. to respond that such a move would bring significant retaliatory measures on U.S. goods. Wow!  Now Trump indicates that he’s willing to open up further trade negotiations with the E.U.

Trump has also tweeted that his administration is considering introducing tariffs on auto imports from Canada and Mexico, much to the displeasure of the American auto industry. You see, in today’s world, many auto parts are supplied from sources outside the U.S.  Indeed, the average Big Three vehicle is comprised of anywhere between 40 to 60 percent of parts manufactured outside the country.  American auto tariffs will simply disrupt the supply chain, reduce efficiencies, increase costs, cause a major downturn in the industry, and eventually increase the costs of all vehicles to American consumers.

American tariffs on Chinese goods, including steel and aluminum, are already having an impact on the agricultural sector, especially on soybean exports. As a result, Trump has pledged $12 billion to farmers to help ease trade pain caused by tariffs aimed at China which had retaliated against U.S. farm products. However, farmers have made it clear that they don’t want handouts, but prefer to be able to sell their products and are concerned about the long-term damage caused by tariffs.

As for negotiating separate trade agreements with Canada and Mexico, the chances are pretty slim that either country would agree to do so. Mexican and Canadian officials have reiterated that talks on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) will remain a three-way negotiation. Canada has a strong participant in Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland who has proven to be an excellent representative from the Canadian Cabinet. She has made it very clear that Canada is working to obtain a modern NAFTA which is fair and beneficial to all three countries. Minister Freeland met with Mexican President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who will take office on Dec. 1rst, and was given assurance that Mexico also has the same objectives for a trilateral trade agreement.

I firmly believe that President Trump has underestimated just how much the E.U., China, Mexico and Canada are willing to go to protect their interests and promote free trade. Before the terrible and costly consequences of international trade wars happen, I would suggest that the President take a close look at his strategy and consider backing off even more.  I’m sure even the Republicans, who historically promoted free trade as opposed to protectionism, would very much support such a move.  We can only hope.

Canada Donald Trump Foreign Policy Protectionism Protectionist Trade Policies US

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Jul 1

This Canada Day, We Stand On Guard For Thee

by bcurry

We celebrate July 1st in recognition of the 150 years since the formation of the country called Canada. The U.S. of course celebrates July 4th in recognition of its independence day.  The two countries have a lot in common, including the longest unguarded border in the world.  We fought two World Wars and the Korean War together.  Canadian troops served in Afghanistan. Canada and the U.S. formed the continental defence body called the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD). We share a common language “English”, although Canada also has “French” as a second official language.  Many Americans and Canadians work and play in each other’s countries.  Canada is America’s single largest trade partner and have a free trade arrangement in place, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

However, since the emergence of President Donald Trump’s administration, the relationship between our two countries has seriously deteriorated to having now become the worst in decades. The relationship has not only soured because of the current re-negotiations respecting NAFTA and recent U.S. tariffs placed on Canadian steel and aluminum products, but because of Trump’s continuing personal attacks on Canadians, including our Prime Minister.  These and other attacks on our European and Latin American allies have further aggravated world tensions, both economic and political.  Trump’s protectionist and ‘America First’ policies may play well among his base in the U.S., but it is unravelling decades of international cooperation.

There are no winners in this current atmosphere of constant turmoil and instability, much of which is reflected in the stock markets in the U.S., Canada, Japan, Europe and China. Should the trade war continue, many experts predict that the world could be in for another major global recession.  Here in Canada, businesses, workers and consumers are preparing for the worst. As Canada now has an integrated economy with the U.S., industries like the automotive sector will suffer on both sides of the border in the advent of the imposition of further tariffs. Canadians perceive the imposition of American tariffs as a deliberate attack on the Canadian economy and have responded accordingly with new tariffs on a wide range of American products.  Indeed, there are now national ‘Buy Canadian’ campaigns aimed at promoting Canadian brands over American brands.  Numerous Canadians have already decided not to vacation south of the border, and mutual tourism will suffer.

Jobs will be lost on both sides of the border, but I’m certain that the economic impact will be worst for Canada as a trading nation. The results will be an increase in Canadian opposition to the Trump regime and a growing frustration with its unfair policies.  After all, Americans are supposed to be our friends and a good neighbour.  We have never taken this for granted.  However, Canadians are a proud people and will resist any such bullying tactics by external sources, no matter how difficult conditions may become.  The question then becomes how long these conditions will continue and how long it will take to mend fences in the future?  Your guess is as good as mine.  In the meantime, as Canadians we will stand on guard for thee.  Happy Canada Day! Oh yeah, and hopefully a happy Fourth of July!

Canada Donald Trump Foreign Policy Protectionist Trade Policies U.S. Canada Border US

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Jun 18

How Many Workers Will Be Forced to Delay Their Retirement?

by bcurry

A recent Washington Post article by Thomas Heath had an interesting title: “Dying at your desk is not a retirement plan”. Indeed, he went on to note that by retiring too early you risk outliving your money, and staying at the desk too long you might miss out on life. How true.  The number of older workers (65 and up), mostly so-called boomers, have delayed their retirement for differing reasons over the last decade.  Bloomberg News reported that almost 19 percent of Americans 65 or older were working at least part-time in the second quarter of 2017. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) expects this trend to continue.  The BLS estimates that by 2024, 36 percent of 65- to 69-year-olds will be active participants in the labor market. That’s apparently up from just 22 percent in 1994. The same can be said for older Canadian workers.

A good part of the problem lies in the fact that many workers no longer have access to a private pension plan, particularly a ‘defined benefit pension plan’. In the U.S., according to a 2016 analysis by Willis Towers Watson P.L.C., the number of defined benefit pension plans sponsored by the nation’s largest corporations (Fortune 500) continues to fall. Just 99, or about 20% of these companies offered a defined benefit pension plan to new salaried employees in 2015, down from 104, or nearly 21% in 2014.  This represented a dramatic fall from a decade earlier in 2005, when 248, or just over 48% of Fortune 500 firms, offered the plans.  As per the same analysis, more of these firms are offering only defined contribution plans to new salaried employees, who will have to sort out their investments for future retirement on their own.

In addition, many boomers are not saving enough for retirement either through contributions to Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSP) in Canada and 401(k)s and IRAs in the U.S.  Indeed, in 2017, Forbes estimated that half of Americans were approaching retirement with no savings!  Instead, these workers appear to be relying on Social Security to finance their retirement.  Now, one needs to realize is that, for low-income Americans, Social Security may be enough.  However, will Social Security be enough to have a comfortable retirement?  Middle income Canadians face the same dilemma, especially those relying solely on the Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security to finance their retirement.  Their standard of living will suffer as costs begin to outweigh benefits in retirement, especially since we are living longer.

For those older workers who choose to continue working past 65 for an acceptable variety of personal and bona fide reasons, we salute you, especially where your expertise and experience continue to be needed. For those older workers who have little or no choice financially but to continue working, we can only hope that you will not die at your workplace.  For the latter, the best advice that one can offer is to get your affairs in order, remain healthy and retire as soon as possible.  Otherwise, you might just miss out on life.

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Jun 11

President Trump’s Behaviour At The G7 Meeting In Canada Was Disrespectful To Host Leader

by bcurry

Justin Trudeau is the Prime Minister of the sovereign nation of Canada and as such deserves the normal respect given to any head of state. For the past four decades, Canada has been a recognized member of the G7 Group. This body is there to provide a valuable opportunity for the seven participating countries to discuss a number of important world issues, including trade.  Normally, at the end of each meeting a joint communiqué is issued highlighting the results of the discussions. However, although the U.S. delegation appeared to have endorsed the draft communiqué, the American President abruptly left the meeting refusing to sign off on the document. Instead, Trump launched a tirade against Prime Minister Trudeau calling him “dishonest and weak”.

Other leaders and delegates were surprised by Trump’s outburst, although not completely shocked given recent events. After all, some of these leaders have been disparaged by Trump’s statements in the past.  Some observers have labelled the tirade released by Trump and his advisors against the Canadian PM as a form of ‘bullying’.  Having placed tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, Canada has indicated that tariffs will be imposed on a number of American products exported to Canada.  In addition, Trump is not too happy with the negotiations surrounding the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) which have been going slower than he would have liked.  Both Canada and Mexico believe that negotiations on a new agreement need to be thorough in order to achieve a fair and equitable result for all three nations. Given the complexity of some of the trade items, this process cannot be done over night.

President Trump needs to realize that the Prime Minister has the full backing of not only his government, but also the opposition members and Canadians in general. Unlike recent contradictory statements by Trump, the Canadian position on the NAFTA negotiations and on free trade in general has been consistent.  Indeed, the Canadian position reflects that of many of its European allies who have also been hit with American tariffs.  Regrettably, the U.S. protectionist situation leaves Canada, Mexico and the European Union with no other option but to retaliate in kind. No one wants to give in to a bully.  Unfortunately, workers and consumers in the U.S. and the other affected countries will ultimately suffer.

It’s time that Donald Trump realises that he is no longer part of a reality T.V. show. He is now on the world stage and needs to act in a respectful, informed and reflective manner.  Name calling and bullying have no place in diplomacy.  Years of cooperation and trust among nations are at stake.  Trump’s administration needs to be very careful as to whom it defames and attempts to discredit.  It’s one thing to launch a trade war and quite another to start diplomatic conflicts among one’s allies.  There could be grave consequences for the so-called leader of the free world.

Canada Donald Trump Foreign Policy NAFTA Protectionist Trade Policies US

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Jun 4

If Nothing Else, Enjoy the View at G7 Summit in Charlevoix, Quebec

by bcurry

Just up the St. Lawrence River in Quebec, Canada, there is the lovely region of Charlevoix. Amid hills, lakes and rivers there exists parks and hiking trails, picturesque little villages and tons of nature.  From the shores, you can often see whales playing in the St. Lawrence River. This June 8th and 9th, the region will host the next G7 summit.  If you’re not already aware, the G7 consists of the U.S., Canada, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy. What’s particularly interesting this time, President Donald Trump, the so-called master negotiator, will be there after having just placed tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from Canada, Mexico and Europe. Oh to be a fly on the wall at that meeting!

One has to remember that one of the goals of the G7 over the last four decades was to help coordinate trade and economic policies among these and other industrialized countries. The G7 has always been seen as a close-knit group having common interests.  This may all change at this summit.  None of the participants is happy with President Trump’s protectionist policies.  Indeed, some observers have described the new grouping as the “G6 plus one”, the U.S. being the one. The past goals of enhancing cooperation may be in real jeopardy, particularly when you have the American President publishing rambling tweets about the U.S. getting screwed by “stupid trade.” It’s obvious that Trump’s playing to his political core base back home, much to the chagrin of other Republicans and State governors who support “free trade” and have economically benefited from such support.

Moreover, the G7 has been somewhat effective because it had established a level of trust among its members. Now, Trump is straining those very bonds.  In addition, the President’s administration has not really gone after the real culprit in this story, China.  Instead, the President appears to be more concerned about his family’s financial interests in China and China’s role in the upcoming talks with North Korea. Although some will argue that the G7 as a body has done little to tackle certain economic and international trade issues, the fact is that at least it was there, along with the group of 20, to discuss emerging issues and perhaps avert damaging protectionist policies.

Let’s face it, I support free trade as benefiting all of us in one way or another. Indeed, I highlighted my views back in March in my blog entitled Does Trump Not Understand Fundamental Principles Behind Multi-lateral Trade?.  As for Canada, it has always had a close political and economic relationship with it’s southern neighbour.  Placing tariffs on certain products traded to the U.S. can only hurt that relationship.  Canadians are a proud people and take such actions as an affront to their country and its values, as appropriately expressed by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.  Such actions by this American administration will do nothing but harm the current negotiations around the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).  Unfortunately, both American and Canadian workers and consumers will suffer from the most recent U.S.-imposed tariffs.  Charlevoix’s quiet ambience will most certainly be invaded by loud and angry voices.

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May 8

Much Ado About Nothing and Today’s Absorb News Coverage

by bcurry

The phrase ‘much ado about nothing’ is of course from William Shakespeare’s play – Much Ado About Nothing.  It appears that this phrase greatly applies to the political and social issues of the day and their related news coverage.  Think about many of the headlines covering news stories today in North America and abroad. Journalists appear to be more interested in the on-going saga of the current American President and a well-known porn star, a rather irrelevant royal marriage in the U.K., the Canadian Prime Minister’s ridiculous sartorial choices while in India, and the usual absurdities displayed during the recent NRA’s national convention.   With so many other much more important issues dominating the international and national scenes, you’d think that news outlets would have much better things to do than sensationalize such negligible events.  Especially since these events don’t really change anything in a meaningful way.

If anything, such events simply provide good fodder for late night comics, talk-show hosts, the tabloids and bloggers. The problem is that the average North American relies on these outlets for the majority of their news — fake or otherwise.  The real important stuff is conveniently hidden away in the back pages of print media.  The problem is also that people selectively choose what they want to hear or read, particularly if it supports their views — referred to as ‘positive reaffirmation’ by psychologists.  Moreover, getting caught up in the banalities of insignificant current events is just another form of escapism and avoidance of the real issues.

Instead, we consciously allow our leaders — political, religious or otherwise — to tell us what we should believe. No questions asked.  Opposite positions and arguments are conveniently provided for us to regurgitate upon command.  As for many of the issues being debated, we’ve been over the same points time and time again.  Maybe this is why there is so much desire for distraction and comic relief in our societies.  Such is the bread and butter for T.V. and radio talk-show hosts.  Just try watching and listening to their ramblings and that of their faithful listeners and you’ll appreciate the points that I’m making.

Let’s not complicate matters. Just give us the simple explanations.  Even better, just entertain us.  After all, Rome’s emperor, the decadent and unpopular Nero, was said to have “fiddled while Rome burned”, although fiddles actually didn’t exist in that era.

Canada Social Media The News Media US US Politics

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Apr 26

Why Is It That We Still Can’t Understand The Limitations Of Governments To Do Things?

by bcurry

Recently, I read a number of articles in reputable sources blaming governments for all kinds of things. The complaints ranged from the decline in North American manufacturing jobs to proactive policies aimed at dealing with climate change and poverty.  The problem appears to be that the authors really don’t understand just what impact government policies and programs can have in reality.  Indeed, what is the ultimate role and purpose of governing?

Let’s put it in simpler terms. Governments are needed to ensure peace and good order in a society.  They do this by creating laws, administering and enforcing them for the good of all citizens.  Governments also strive to protect the individual rights of their citizens, constitutional or otherwise.  However, unlike a century ago, societal needs have become more complex and are influenced by many other factors — from new technologies, globalization, ideologies, oligopolies, world and domestic economic institutions, the environment, etc., etc. Most of these factors are outside the direct influence or control of governments.  If anything, the impact of other factors is felt more than that of government initiatives which tend to be more reactive than proactive.

Today, hundreds of lobbyists continuously work to influence government policies, often through financial support for politicians and parties. While governments attempt to be perceived as being independent, the reality is that the most influential interest groups get their fullest attention.  For example, one only has to look at recent tax reform initiatives in the U.S. and the influence of the National Rifle Association regarding the current gun control debate. Large business organizations run the economy, not government.  President Trump is witnessing their significant influence in the current debate over free trade versus his administration’s move to increased protectionism.

Except in the case of wars, governments rarely tackle issues in a speedy and drastic way, but rather do things in a deliberately slow and incremental approach. Sometimes, politicians just want to please as many interest groups as possible so as to get re-elected in the short-term.  It’s rare that governments attempt to move quickly to tackle those longer-term issues for fear of alienating their supporters, most of whom can’t see further than the end of their noses.  Unfortunately, rightly or wrongly, critics ignore the realities of governing today’s complex societies.  Many of the issues we face today have emerged and evolved over decades of governments with varying political stripes.  In order to be re-elected, political parties are more or less forced to take “centrist” positions or face the countervailing influence of powerful interest groups.  It’s hard to govern effectively and with a longer-term perspective when the immediate primary objective is political survival.  Sorry to be so cynical, but it’s been a tough week!

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