FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Free Trade Versus Protective Policies and Where Is Trump Going On This?

As part of his campaign, President Trump stated time and time again that he wanted to either renegotiate trade agreements such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) involving Canada and Mexico or withdraw from negotiations involving future agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Well, Trump withdrew from his predecessor’s signature TPP trade deal on his first full weekday in office, leaving the 11 other countries that had negotiated the pact to wonder if years of work had just gone down the drain. Currently, NAFTA negotiations are taking place with a ridiculous December 2017 deadline to complete a new deal.

The problem is that trade today involves a global economy with integrated production and services of multinational corporations around the world. Trump’s attempt to introduce protective policies is most likely going to hurt American corporations as much as foreign enterprises and workers.  In order to be competitive, American corporations now rely heavily on goods, services and component production found in other countries.  In the case of NAFTA, those in the U.S. vastly underestimate the important trading relationship most of the 50 states hold with Canada. Indeed, 35 American states trade more with Canada than any other country. Currently, some 70 percent of Canada’s trade is with the U.S. — the majority of which benefits both countries. NAFTA has also benefited Mexico economically in various ways and those American states bordering Mexico.

American, Mexican and Canadian consumers benefit through access to more and cheaper goods and services, as evidenced by the number of American retail outlets operating in Mexico and Canada. With NAFTA, we have evolved into a continental economy, with improvements for labour and the environment — particularly in Mexico as a result of side agreements. What’s interesting is that the Republicans have always been the defenders and promoters of free trade in Congress and the White House, as were leaders of the Conservative Party in Canada. Ironically, we now have a Liberal Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, who is promoting the benefits of free trade for all three countries.

Yes, there are things that can be improved in NAFTA since its implementation almost thirty years ago. World economies have changed a lot since then, particularly with new technologies. However, most experts believe that its benefits to all three countries far outweigh its costs. Other factors, such as new innovations in communications, energy and robotics have had a greater impact on the labour market and the environment than trade agreements. Simply introducing more protective policies will not change or stop the consequences of rapid innovation in the manufacturing, service, finance and other sectors. Punishing countries through protective policies will simply hurt everyone involved. Such policies don’t only go against the changing realities of our times, but also against common sense.

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Does Quasi-Isolationism Really Work?

Who is it that once said? “No man is an island unto himself”.  According to Wikpedia, this originally was a famous line from Devotions upon Emergent Occasions, a 1624 prose work by English poet John Donne.  Moreover, the gist of the saying is that human beings do not thrive well when isolated from others.  One has to ask whether the quasi-isolationism adhered to by Trumpism will really work in the era of globalization?

Since the start of the industrialized age, the world has become an increasingly smaller planet. What affects one region of the world can affect most regions.  Technological advances in communication, transportation, cybernetics, medical fields, agriculture, energies, etc., etc. have brought continents together.  As for trade among countries, years ago it was recognized that there are advantages to having freer trade.  Most economists argue that everyone benefits from promoting freer trade because each country produces or provides cheaper goods and services by creating economies of scale and greater efficiencies in output and costs.  Such freer trade promotion is also supported by numerous international oversight forums which emerged post-World War II.

For some time now, we have lived in a world of commerce involving multi-national corporations operating in several regions. Besides providing greater access to investment capital, technical expertise and business savvy, multi-nationals develop local labour markets and service industries.  To be certain, their primary goal is to increase their profits by taking advantage of local markets, natural resources, cheaper labour and government assistance.  Multi-nationals out the U.S. have greatly benefited from access to overseas markets. Recognizing however that there are also regional socio-economic costs involved — be they environmental, political or social.

Who has certainly benefited from increased trade is the American consumer. Next time that you go to a Walmart or Target, think about the variety and quantity of affordable goods available.  “Buy American” is a nice slogan, but would be an expensive one to act upon.  To effectively compete on the international stage, American businesses have to continue to develop knowledge-based products and services and promote greater innovation wherever possible and cost-effective.  Backing ‘quasi-isolationist’ doctrines will not only backfire economically and politically, but will cause the rest of the world to minimize their trade dealings with the U.S.  Countries have formed more-and-more regional trade blocs and will continue to do so, often out of necessity.  After all, no one can afford to become isolated on an island.

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