FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Maybe It’s Time That We All Look More Closely How ‘Twitter’ Is Being Used

Online harassment and hate speech have long festered on Twitter, but the incidents appeared to have risen during the 2016 presidential campaign.  Exchanges between supporters of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton grew personal and acrimonious.  Of course, over the last four years, Trump has used twitter as his personal means to attack opponents and to spew conspiracy theories such as claiming that the Democrats had stolen the presidential election.  Twitter finally did the right thing and cut him off after the Capitol riot which he helped to instigate.  Now, an interesting defemation case against Twitter has arisen in Canada — more specifically in British Columbia (B.C.).

B.C. billionaire Frank Giustra, a Vancouver businessman and philanthropist, has recently won the right to sue Twitter for defamation after a judge ruled that B.C. courts have jurisdiction to hear the case.  Moreover, the case once again highlights the fact that there are jurisdictional difficulties with internet defamation cases.  Under American law, Twitter would not be liable for damages to Giustra in the U.S. due to freedom of speech provisions in the First Amendment.  However, in Canada the question becomes whether Canadian common law provides similar protections for a platform such as Twitter.  The answer would have to be determined in Canadian courts, with a possibility of eventually ending up in the Supreme Court of Canada.

Remember the infamous “Pizzagate”.  In the above case, tweets promoting a conspiracy theory had gone out during the 2016 U.S. presidential election that Hillary Clinton and other supporters were involved in child sex-trafficking.  Among those supporters targeted was Frank Giustra who sits on the board of the Clinton Foundation, a non-profit organization founded by former U.S. president Bill Clinton.  The related tweets also left the false impression that Mr. Giustra was corrupt, a “murderous thief” and a criminal.  The whole crazy conspiracy was of course debunked.

There is nothing particularly new about Twitter being accused of allowing hate speech and disinformation to permeate its platform.  What is especially interesting is that this self-made billionaire is financially capable of taking on an internet Goliath in the courts, with possibly a good chance of winning his defamation case under Canadian common law.  Once again, people are hoping that this particular lawsuit will help raise public awareness of the real harm to society if social media platforms are not held responsible for the content posted and published on their sites.  Although Twitter has yet to file a response to the defamation claims, the company has indicated it intends to defend the case mainly on the basis that it is not a publisher of the tweets.  Unfortunately, the time normally taken to try such cases in the courts can be very lengthy, even taking several years for final judgement.  In the meantime, it behooves us all to be aware of the real flaws and dangers associated with the misuse of social media, including those surrounding Twitter.

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Donald Trump: To Convict or Not to Convict?

Now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach the president, the question on everyone’s mind is whether the Senate will hold a trial which could lead to Trump’s conviction for his role in inciting the riot on Capitol Hill on January 6th.  It has been reported that although Senator Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky and the majority leader, has privately told advisers that he approves of the impeachment drive and believes it could help his party purge itself of Mr. Trump, he refused to begin the proceedings this week while he is still in charge.  Despite having some support to convict among several Republican senators, the fact is that the Senate needs a two-third majority to convict.  Doing so would open the door to disqualifying Trump from holding office in the future.  The chances of this happening are very improbable.

The fact is that the Republican Party is still split over its support for Donald Trump and his populist movement.  Indeed, Trump has installed loyal supporters in all of the G.O.P.’s establishment bodies.  For example, since Trump’s 2016 victory, 91 of the 168 positions on the Republican Nationwide Committee have turned over, with nearly all the newcomers elected by Trump-aligned state events.  Several news headlines read: “Deep In the G.O.P. Ranks, the MAGA Mind-Set Prevails.”  It also appears that a vocal wing of the party maintains an almost-religious devotion to the president, and these supporters, especially at the state and local levels, don’t hold him responsible for the mob violence last week.

Unfortunately for the Republican Party, the schism between Trump supporters and the G.O.P. establishment will exist for some time to come.  Without a conviction by the Senate, Donald Trump will continue to hang around, along with his conspiracy theories.  A very recent Axios-Ipsos ballot following the Capitol riot confirmed that a majority of Republicans help the president’s latest habits and say he still ought to be the Republican nominee in 2024. In addition, many Trump supporters are clamoring to go after any of the Republican members of Congress who voted for impeachment or against the motion to investigate the voting results of the presidential election.  Some of those Republican members now even fear for their lives.

Various Republicans in Congress believe that proceeding with an impeachment trial in the Senate will only pour gasoline on the already raging fire among Trump supporters.  They believe that such a move will further divide the nation at a time when a new administration is being sworn in.  Given the volatility of the current situation, they may have a legitimate argument.  House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has discretion over when to transmit the article of impeachment sometime next week, formally initiating the Senate proceeding.  While this may be the right thing to do in light of the serious charges against Trump, the timing may not be good for the country.  The House members, including ten Republicans, have made their point and expression of justifiable outrage over the president’s actions leading up to and following the Capitol riot.  After all, his legacy now includes being the only American president to be impeached twice.  Proceeding to convict represents a greater threat to the G.O.P. than anyone else, and may only provide more ammunition to Trump loyalists to continue their fight within the party.  Hopefully, not literally!

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Following Capitol Hill Riot, Republican Party Is In Disarray

Despite what the Republican National Committee may say about its continuing support for Donald Trump, there is increasing evidence that the GOP is a very much more splintered group following the attempted coup at the Capitol by a pro-Trump mob.  This disarray extends to GOP members of Congress.  It is reported that the 127 who voted to overthrow president-elect Joe Biden’s electoral victory are facing fierce backlash from donors, constituents, and even some GOP colleagues. 

The party also faces a threat to its financial base.  Several of the most powerful and normally non-political business federations in Washington denounced the chaos this week in stinging language, including the National Association of Manufacturers, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable.  Several major business leaders voiced alarm at the threat it posed to a democracy which most Americans had taken for granted and at the role of these rogue Republican lawmakers. 

Then there are the evangelicals who represent roughly one quarter of Americans and who supported Trump and the GOP for their pro-religion views.  White evangelicals embraced the president, some begrudgingly and some enthusiastically, because he addressed many of their concerns.  Now, they are talking about finally witnessing an evangelical reckoning and the about the dangers of Trumpism.  A lot of introspection is happening among evangelicals.

There is clearly a conundrum wherein the GOP finds itself beholden to voters who’ve internalized the president’s falsehoods and were emboldened by Trump’s divisive speak.  There is little doubt that a schism exists among Trump’s supporters which may be hard to quickly mend.  In one report shortly after the Capitol assault, a veteran GOP pollster Frank Luntz carried out a spotlight group composed of a few Trump voters from different states.  In it, he stated that they fell into three camps:

  • those who consider the truth that President-elect Joe Biden won the election and believe that it’s time for Trump move on;
  • those who believe that the election was stolen from Trump, but he nonetheless ought to move on; and
  • those who insist it was stolen and Trump ought to continue to struggle in some way.

Rep. Nancy Mace, a newly elected Republican freshman from South Carolina and a strong past supporter of Trump, openly declared in the media: “That legacy has now been wiped out,” Mace stated. “It is gone, and we have to start over from scratch.”  Whether the president is impeached or censured, the fact is that significant damage has been done to the Republican Party.  It would appear that Trump supporters and GOP members of Congress are ready to declare war with each other.  The best thing for the future of the GOP is for Trump and his legacy to quietly fade away into the abyss.  As long as Trump has any future involvement with the party, there will continue to be even more destructive disarray.  His ties to the party need to be cut ASAP.  Otherwise, the internal healing can’t start soon enough for most Republican supporters!

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Trump set up Vice President Mike Pence’s down-fall among his supporters

VP Mike Pence came under intense pressure from Donald Trump to toss out the election results during the confirmation within Congress of the Electoral College votes validating the win by President-elect Joe Biden and VP-elect Pamela Harris.  However, Pence had no constitutional authority to do any such thing, and he correctly refused to buckle to the President’s demands to engineer a procedural coup that would keep him in power.  It has been reported by sources close to the vice president that he clearly was being set up as a “scapegoat” to shoulder the blame by angry Trump supporters.

What is further egregious is that during the Capital Hill riot by Trump supporters, the President and top White House officials did not even contact the vice president to ensure that he and his family, who were inside the U.S. Capitol at the time, were unharmed.  Several rioters were reported to have shouted that they were looking to find the vice president in order to capture and execute him as a traitor.  In spite of this, full credit must be given to the vice president for his return following the riot to continue the debate and the ceremonial counting of the electoral votes in Congress.

However, where does this moment leave Mike Pence’s status as a potential Republican candidate for the Presidency in 2024?  Here was a man who had been extremely loyal to Donald Trump throughout his presidency.  Now he obviously has been thrown under the bus by Trump who just can’t admit defeat and wants another scapegoat.  As witnessed in reports from the Republican National Committee following the Capitol rioting, there nevertheless remains continuing support for Trump’s leading role in the GOP.  Moreover, despite evidence to the contrary, party members, one after another, said in interviews that the president did not bear any blame for the violence at the Capitol.  However, privately, a group of Republican officials, mostly those from the pre-Trump establishment wing of the party, said that they were appalled by the president’s conduct.  Alas, there is a clear division within the GOP as to how to proceed without angering Trump’s base which they continue to perceive as crucial to win future elections.

Senators Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz obviously tried to position themselves as heirs to Trump’s base and they remained largely unrepentant for their actions after this week’s deadly riot.  However, a group of Republican officials, mostly those from the pre-Trump establishment wing of the party, said that they were appalled by the each senator’s conduct during the certification of election results.  The GOP for now is a very divided party.  After all, a lot of introspection needs to occur among Republicans as to where the party is going and what will be its future electoral platforms.  One needs to remember that Trump is the first president since Herbert Hoover to preside over the loss of the White House, the House and the Senate in a single term.  Despite the election results, the Republican rank and file don’t yet appear to be all that fazed!

At this time, Mike Pence appears to be the odd man out.  Will Trump ever forgive him for failing to attempt to toss out the election results?  Trump has never appeared to be a very forgiving person when it comes to anyone appearing to be disloyal to him.  One only has to look at his past erratic history with those supposedly close to him.  When it comes to future political aspirations within the GOP, good luck Mr. Pence for you’ll need it.

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Americans in 2021 will be even more divided than ever

While one may welcome in the New Year, there is little doubt that Americans will be even more divided than ever.  Even a pandemic could not bring Americans together after the recent presidential election.  Spurred on by outgoing President Trump, numerous Republicans and conspirators such as QAnon, many Americans believe that his re-election was stolen by a corrupt voting system.  They have managed to put the very essence of democracy under a microscope for all the wrong reasons.

Many Americans look at Democrats and see a party made up primarily of radical lefties, blacks, LGBtQ+, and belonging to an apparatus run by political elites, business leaders and Hollywood celebrities who are also pedophiles and actively working against Trump.  Democrats see Republicans as white, right-wing, evangelical and gun-toting folk.  While these perceptions are far from the truth, polls nevertheless have shown that they are basically how both sides like politically to characterize the other party’s membership.  Even concerted efforts to deal with the pandemic have not brought the two sides any closer together.

Following the U.S. election outcome, several Republicans in Congress and elsewhere have unfortunately continued to cater to Trump’s base by promoting false and misleading accusations about the voting process.  With so much anger in the air and a President who refuses to concede his loss, the political and social atmosphere is more toxic than ever.  The right-wing extremist Proud Boys will march on Washington as Senator Ted Cruz leads 12 GOP senators who are still trying futilely to overturn the results of the presidential election only to appease Trump’s base.

What all this means is that President-elect Joe Biden’s first major challenge will be to convince many Americans that his administration is legitimate, something rarely heard of in U.S. history.  Protests will follow with both pro-Biden and pro-Trump supporters attempting to out shout the other side in front of far from neutral media.   Depending on what happens in the two Georgia runoffs for the U.S. Senate, Congress may or may not become a continuing stalemate of ideological differences.  President-elect Biden’s administration will have their work cut out for them to get anything significant accomplished in the next four years.  With the divisions running so deep and Donald Trump screaming in the Twitter background, one cannot envy the challenges that his administration will face in the coming months.

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2020 Did Have Some Good News

No one will disagree that 2020 was not the best year for most of us, except for those heavily invested in the Stock Markets.  However, there was some good news despite the COVID pandemic.  Here are a few examples:

  • Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump to become the next American president, although there are millions of angry Americans who still wanted to see Trump re-elected.  Despite Trump’s attempt to undermine the legitimacy of the voting process, democracy won in the end run.
  • Obviously, the coronavirus vaccine remarkably became the fastest vaccine to be ever developed, authorized for use and is now being administered.  Its development prompted a wave of unprecedented global scientific and governmental collaboration.  As one scientist put it: “In the last 11 months, probably 10 years’ work has been done.”
  • With fewer people driving, flying and travelling in general, air pollution levels went down in most major cities.  At one point, it was reported that global greenhouse gas emissions fell 17 percent, the biggest drop in human history. 
  • More countries, including Canada, made net-zero emissions pledges in 2020.  South Korea became the first Asian country to set a 2050 net-zero emissions goal, followed by Japan and China, which committed to reaching net zero by 2060.  China is the world’s biggest emitter and had previously committed only to aim for peak emissions in about 2030.  The U.S. is expected to return to the Paris Accord on Climate Change under Biden’s administration and to commit to net-zero emissions goals.
  • There were also major breakthroughs in the development of HIV prevention methods in 2020.  Diagnoses of HIV among gay and bisexual men dropped to their lowest level in 20 years in several Western countries and more assistance is being provided to poorer countries.
  • Demand for renewables, growing before the pandemic, held steady during 2020.  Advancements in green tech have rapidly brought down the costs of wind and solar, making them highly competitive with fossil fuels.  As a result of the lockdowns in several economies, the demand for fossil fuels went down and is expected to decline over the next decade.
  • Green technologies are quickly growing, especially with the emerging transportation demands for more e-vehicles in moving both cargos and people.  In addition, private vehicles are increasingly being designed out of urban areas with encouraging results for communities and businesses.
  • More policies emerged to support greater diversity, most notably in the arts and in business.  Such policies focus on more underrepresented groups, including women, people from racial or ethnic minority groups, LGBTI or disabled people.
  • The Black Lives Matter movement raised the issue of systemic discrimination throughout societies, forcing governments and leaders to recognize and to act on its existence in different societal contexts.
  • As a result of the many coronavirus-related deaths in long-term care residences, governments have been finally forced to recognize the horrendous situation respecting the warehousing of the elderly in our society.  Hopefully, this will lead to the restructuring of long-term care as an extension of health care systems and to a more humane treatment of our vulnerable and ageing population.
  • The pandemic has hopefully demonstrated the real need for global approaches to deal with poverty, climate change, refugees, endangered species, and a myriad of other issues.

Hopefully, 2021 will be a much better and safer year.  Happy New Year to all!

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Will Vulnerable Countries Have Adequate Access to COVID Vaccines?

Many are celebrating the fact that the end of 2020 has seen the arrival of COVID vaccines from pharmaceutical manufacturers, and rightly so.  Indeed, the U.S. has already secured claims on as many as 1.5 billion doses of approved and potential vaccines, while the European Union has locked up nearly two billion doses — enough to vaccinate all of their citizens and then some. Canada is in line to receive millions of vaccine doses early in the new year.  However, reports indicate that many poor countries could be left waiting until 2024 to fully vaccinate their populations, if they’re lucky.  In addition, access to vaccines is not based on need.  It’s based on the ability to pay and the need for pharmaceutical companies (primarily located in the advanced economies) to waive traditional protections on intellectual property, thereby allowing poor countries to make affordable versions of the vaccines.  Unfortunately, the work of the World Trade Organization (W.T.O.) and the International Monetary Fund (I.M.F.) to provide needed aid to poor countries has been blocked by the Trump administration.  On top of which, the Trump administration has also withdrawn financial and moral support for the vital work of the World Health Organization (W.H.O.).

This has left the masses of people in poor countries with no short-term access to vaccines, in economic chaos and with rising public debt.  This global pandemic will result in existing economic inequalities between the have and have-not countries becoming even greater.  Some will even argue that the ravages of the pandemic in poor countries, largely unchecked by vaccines, could limit economic fortunes globally.  Governments in the wealthy countries must at some point shore up the assistance necessary to support health care systems and vulnerable populations in poor countries.  The Canadian government recently announced that it is part of a global movement to ensure that available surplus COVID vaccines will be offered to vulnerable countries as soon as possible.  When and by how much are two questions that immediately come to mind!

One can only hope that the incoming Biden administration will quickly proceed to address this important issue and lend the full support of the American nation to such organizations as the W.T.O., I.M.F. and W.H.O. in combating this global pandemic.  Without the full American participation, the ability to ensure that sufficient COVID vaccines are available to vulnerable countries becomes a mute issue.  Just as the pandemic created a health crisis in wealthy countries, it has created an even bigger one in the poorer countries.  Unless the current situation changes, it is predicted that many poor countries will no doubt be left waiting until 2024 to fully vaccinate their populations.  If true, this could become the worst international tragedy of this century.

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When Sedition Enters In To The Lexicon of Trump’s Administration

According to the New York Times, Donald Trump recently discussed with Michael Flynn, his former national security adviser, the possibility of imposing martial law to overturn the election.  Having lost all of his court cases alleging fraud during the presidential election and with the Electoral College having given Joe Biden the majority of electors needed to make him officially President-elect, Trump is at the end of his rope.  Or maybe not?

Apparently, in his meeting with Trump and his advisors, Flynn suggested that the President send troops into the swing states which he lost to Biden in November and have the military basically rerun an election in each of those states.  If true, the proposal would represent the or speech inciting rebellion against the legitimate authority of a state.  Insurrection is a violent uprising against authority and coup is a sudden violent seizure of power from a government.  Even the mere contemplation of such an act by the Commander-in-Chief is alien to Americans, particularly as one of the military’s principal responsibilities is to defend the constitution of the United most drastic and unconscionable move by Trump up until now.  All kinds of thoughts come to mind, comprised of concepts such as sedition, insurrection and coup.  Sedition is defined as conduct States.

The next stage in the election timetable is when the House and Senate hold a joint session to count the electoral votes, with the hearing presided over by Vice-President Mike Pence.  This is normally a formality, although some Republicans may like to challenge the result through a debate in both chambers.  Such a challenge has no chance of succeeding.  To all intents and purposes, President-elect Biden now represents the new head of government, only to be inaugurated.  The inauguration of Joe Biden on January 20, 2021 as the 46th president of the United States will mark the commencement of his four-year term president and Kamala Harris as the vice-president.  Democracy will live on in the U.S. despite Trump’s desire to undermine it.

According to the New York Times, Trump also weighed appointing Sidney Powell as special counsel within the White House to investigate voter fraud.  Ms. Powell promoted conspiracy theories about rigged voting machines.  Several lawsuits related to election fraud filed by Ms. Powell have been tossed out of court.  In addition, legal action has been launched by Dominion Voting Systems against Ms. Powell over her baseless claims about its voting machines.  In both of the above irrational proposals, the President was advised that he had no constitutional authority for what was being discussed and any subsequent appointment could not be affiliated with the Justice Department.  Thus, such an appointment would be meaningless. 

All this to say that Donald Trump is now treading on thin ice!  Any proposal for military action by Trump should be considered as an act of sedition.  What Trump should be doing is simply offering his concession and helping to plan the transition to a new administration, like his modern predecessors before him.  American democracy demands it!

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Sorry To See Trump Leave Office, But Not Too Sorry

Well, an era is coming to an end once Donald Trump leaves office.  Indeed, it’s all definitely been weird and left one with a lot of stuff to blog about.  Just look at a few of blog titles noted below as issued over the last four years.  The fact that Trump continues to contest the election results should be of no surprise.  The surprise may be that many Republicans are continuing to support the President, even though it means contesting the very fundamental nature of American democracy.  It certainly is a sad state of affairs, especially given all of the ridiculous law suits filed with numerous courts, including the U.S. Supreme Court, aimed at overruling valid election results.  Now that all this meaningless litigation has apparently been put to bed, maybe the current administration can get on with the transition business toward new governance.

Unfortunately, Trump continues to stir up his supporters which has galvanized protest marches and counter protests across the nation, some even resulting in violence.  Trump has undermined their confidence in the electoral system, something which may take years to repair.  As well, Trump is building up a war chest to be used to finance his future activities and propaganda as to how his re-election was stolen.  One can certainly foresee more bluster on the part of Trump.  In the meantime, what does all this mean for the dysfunctional Republican Party?  How are the Republicans going to recover in order to become more centrist and recover the support of independent voters, while distancing themselves from ultra-right extremists? 

Meanwhile, the rest of the world, including Canadians, watches as the great American democracy is being torn apart.  Hopefully, the administration under President-elect Joe Biden will be able to bring enough Americans together in order to effectively deal with serious domestic and international issues, and once again to provide much-needed global leadership.  Let’s say good riddance to one era of division and vindictiveness, while heralding in the start of a new era promoting hope and the collective well being. 

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Like Several U.S. States, Alberta Took Too Long to Introduce COVID-19 Measures

Canada has its regional equivalent to Georgia, Iowa, South Dakota and Florida.  It’s the Western province of Alberta.  Just this week, Alberta’s Premier Jason Kenney imposed a province-wide lockdown, calling it a “last resort”.  Back in November, Alberta had declared a state of public health emergency.  The measures will last at least four weeks — meaning family gatherings will be prohibited over the Christmas season.  It will involve an immediate mandatory province-wide mask law, a shutdown of restaurants and bars and a ban on social gatherings of any kind.  Kenney’s recent elected United Conservative government had been reticent to implement restrictions, citing the balance between the consequences of a prolonged economic closure and the harms of the COVID-19 pandemic.  Alberta was the sole province in the country without a province-wide mandatory mask law, although many municipalities had enacted bylaws.  Even in areas without such laws, many retail outlets require them.

Alberta, with a third the population of Ontario, was having the same number of confirmed COVID-19 cases as that province, with a weekly high positive-test rate of over 8 percent.  In late November, Alberta had more than 13,000 active cases, the most in the entire country, despite having fewer people than Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia.  Deaths had climbed close to 500, and more than 300 people were in hospital, with more than 60 of them in intensive care units (ICUs).  So far in December, Alberta is shattering records, with over 1,800 new cases daily and a positive-test rate of 9.5 percent.  Straining the capacity of the health-care system in the province, the Alberta government has asked the federal government and the Red Cross to supply four field hospitals to care for COVID-19 patients.

Like the Upper Midwest and Plains states in the U.S., Albertans tend to reflect a mid-West attitude in their opinions of government and any perceived impact on their liberties.  If any province were similar in outlooks to Americans, Alberta could be the equivalent of a 51st state.  They have primarily voted for conservative governments for over the last half century and often express their objections to federal government intrusions into their affairs, especially when it comes to the oil and gas and cattle industries.  When all taxes are taken into consideration, Albertans across all income ranges generally pay lower overall taxes compared to other provinces.  Alberta continues to be the only province in Canada without a provincial sales tax.  For years, the province relied heavily on receiving royalties from its oil and gas industry to supplement its revenues.  However, with the pandemic and the recent downturn in oil and gas demand, Alberta’s economy and its people have greatly suffered.  Now, they have to cope with increasing COVID-19 outbreaks and the resulting strain on their health-care system.

The Alberta government’s current lockdown is receiving criticism from doctors and others, who argue that while the measures might have succeeded had they been implemented weeks ago, they now are coming too late.  For months, Albertans continued to flock to bars and restaurants and to congregate for funerals, weddings and church services.  Like many in the states, scores of Albertans protested any form of restrictions despite the clear evidence that not taking precautions would lead to more people becoming sick and dying.  Interestingly, recent surveys show that Jason Kenney’s administration is considered by Albertans to be among the worst in Canada when it comes to dealing with the pandemic at the provincial level.  Reminds you of anyone?

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