FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

President Trump Is Playing The Victim Role Once Again

All through his presidency, Donald Trump has appealed to his supporters that, like them, he is the victim of a corrupt system, whether it be the courts, the media or congress.  He blamed mainstream media for putting out “fake news” about the daily events.  He blamed the House of Representatives and the Special Prosecutor for the impeachment hearings.  He blamed the Federal Bureau of Investigation for failing to investigate the actions of his “political enemies” and Hunter Biden’s business activities in the Ukraine.  He accused top public health officials of overstating the crisis surrounding the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., including the use of testing so as to inflate the numbers of cases.  Now, he is blaming the electoral system for the outcome of the presidential election, without presenting any proof of voting fraud or mishandling of votes by the states.  There is no doubt that Donald Trump is a victim, but a victim of his own arrogance, hypocrisy and self-importance.

Unfortunately, Trump’s refusal to concede to Joe Biden is designed to promote one more conspiracy theory among his supporters that the election was stolen and he did not “loose”.  Simply launching dozens of lawsuits without any legal grounds is a waste of precious time and resources.  The hypocrisy of it is highlighted by his daughter Ivanka Trump.  In recent statements, Ms. Trump celebrated the fact that the Associated Press projected the state of Alaska for the Republicans and for her father.  At the same time she rejected the same organisation declaring Joe Biden the president-elect, despite Mr. Biden clearly winning the 270 electoral college votes he needs for the White House.

On top of which, you now have key Republicans and administration officials encouraging the President should keep fighting until every “legal” vote is counted.  They include Vice President Mike Pence, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Attorney General William Barr, and Senators David Perdue, Susan Collins, Kelly Loeffler, Lindsey Graham, Ted Cruz and Josh Hawley to name a few.  On the other hand, one has Republicans who have congratulated Joe Biden on his victory such as former President George W. Bush, Senator Mitt Romney and Governors Charlie Baker, Larry Hogan and Phil Scott.

Meanwhile, to date, GOP operatives have filed a string of lawsuits over alleged ballot tampering in battleground states but have had zero legal victories or produced any substantive evidence for their claims.  Sorry, Mr. President, you’re no victim in all of this!  While the nation waits to proceed with the normal political transition and there are record numbers of Americans who continue to die or become hospitalized because of COVID-19, you obliviously keep on playing golf.  This nonsensical situation will only add to what is already a terrible legacy, and is just another symptom of Trumpism.

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Finally, the American Mainstream Media Got It Right

For sometime now, both in the U.S. and Canada there have been serious concerns about where people are getting their local, national and international news.  With the advent of social media and nebulous on-line sources of news, the danger of misinformation and disinformation has risen on a number of occasions.  This has especially been the case during national elections.  The confirmed Russian interference in the last American elections highlighted the ability of certain actors to attempt to insert bias and misinformation into news outlets and social media.

In any democracy, the media plays an important role.  In the past, journalism within mainstream media resources, be it in print, radio or television, was a key, reliable and important source of information for citizens.  There was a code of conduct for journalists to research and verify their sources of information before publishing or broadcasting their findings, hopefully based on facts gathered in their investigations.  I would like to think that, when I read articles in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, the National Post and the Financial Post in Canada, etc., etc., the information has been thoroughly vetted to ensure as much accuracy and verifiable facts as possible.

Unfortunately, there are still attempts by some to plant misinformation for political gain.  This appears to have been the case among President Trump’s close advisors inside the White House who believed President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign needed a desperate last ditch rescue mission.  According to the New York Times, this included Arthur Schwartz, a New York public relations man close to Trump’s eldest son, Donald Jr., White House lawyer Eric Herschmann, and former deputy White House counsel Stefan Passantino.  They attempted to concoct a story concerning to Hunter Biden’s work in the Ukraine and the involvement of then Vice-President Joe Biden.  They were hoping that mainstream media would pick up the story and go with it prior to the November election.  However, following further investigative journalism, news outlets such as the Wall Street Journal wouldn’t buy it.  Good for them!

While some unreliable social media sources and right-wing publications love to pursue such stories in an attempt to influence their supporters and possibly some voters, at least the mainstream news media shed light on the President’s attempt to promote “fake news” for political gain.  Trump even tried to raise the unconfirmed collusion story about Hunter and Joe Biden’s involvement in the Ukraine during the final presidential debate.  However, without substantive proof, the attempt was a weak and dishonest one aimed at manipulating public opinion for political gain.  Hopefully, voters will acknowledge Trump’s unfortunate effort to deflect the debate from other important and real issues such as his administration’s absolute failure to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Entering Critical Stage In The Battles Against COVID-19

In North America, we have entered a critical stage in the battles against COVID-19 which some are referring to as the “second wave”.  We have only to see what is happening as part of the second wave in Europe.  With an average of more than 100,000 new infections per day over the past week, Europe now accounts for about one-third of new cases reported worldwide.  Countries such as Britain, France, Spain, Germany, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, and even Russia have had to reintroduce restrictions on travel among regions and various forms of lockdowns and curfews.  European leaders are now confronting an evident surge in coronavirus cases that is rapidly filling hospital beds.

In U.S. federal elections, the surging rise in coronavirus cases across the country, especially in the Midwest, has taken front and center stage in the campaigns.  The public health crisis could reach new levels of urgency by Inauguration Day.  Recent projections show that, if current trends hold, as many as 400,000 Americans may have died from Covid-19 by then.  Unfortunately, President Trump and his allies continue to downplay the virus, arguing that the country is “turning the corner”.  Trump and Vice-Presdent Pence are holding campaign events with thousands of supporters in attendance, even as cases are increasing rapidly.  In Canada, coronavirus cases have risen in the last month to surpass levels above those seen at the height of COVID-19 last spring.  Provincial governments across the country are reintroducing numerous restrictions on travel between regions and varying degrees of lockdowns.  The Prime Minister has declared that the border with the U.S. will remain closed to non-essential travelers as long as the number of COVID-19 cases continues to increase in Canada and the U.S.

With governments’ restrictions on businesses and gatherings in the U.S., Canada and in Europe, there are complaints by some as to their impact on the economy and employment.  However, unless people once again take the situation seriously and are no longer complacent after the past summer of fewer restrictions, countries will find it harder to effectively confront the surge in coronavirus cases that is rapidly filling hospital beds and subsequently driving up death tolls.  Health care systems and workers are being stretched to their limits now, although the seasonal flu season has not yet begun in earnest.  More schools will be required to close and more people will be forced to withdraw from their work to provide child care and home schooling. 

Various precautions have to be taken such as: limiting our social activities to our immediate households, wearing masks in public, physically distancing wherever possible, washing our hands frequently, getting the seasonal flu vaccine, traveling only for essential purposes and avoiding contact outside the household with persons having underlying health conditions except when providing an essential service.  Folks: to undertake this sacrifice is not asking too much under the circumstances and will benefit the community at large.  Unless each of us takes such measures, the second wave of this pandemic will only get worse.  As our leaders and public health officials often reiterate, we are all in this together, whether you like it or not!

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Politics and the Tragic Story of U.S. CDC in Tackling COVID-19

On October 7th, it was reported that U.S. coronavirus cases surpassed 7.5 million with most states seeing a rise in cases and a startling nine states setting ominous, seven-day records for infections.  Even these numbers may not reflect the reality given that the nation’s patchwork pandemic response has led to wide disparities in data reporting.  There are apparently even differences in definitions for basic medical concepts.  In the absence of federal standards, states have also adopted divergent and sometimes scientifically questionable approaches to disease control.

Where has the leadership role of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) been in all of this during the past nine months?  William Foege, a renowned epidemiologist who served under Democratic and Republican presidents, detailed in a recent private letter to CDC Director Robert Redfield (obtained by USA TODAY) what he considered as the White House’s meddling in the agency’s efforts to manage the COVID-19 crisis.  He reflected what a number of Director Redfield’s predecessors at the CDC strongly believe have been serious failures in the administration’s coronavirus response. Dr. Foege expressed how many scientists and experts feel about the CDC’s failure.  Moreover, Dr. Foege’s letter lamented that “the CDC’s scientific experts have been rendered impotent during the most significant health crisis in a century while decades of experience have been ignored.” He concluded: “This will go down as a colossal failure of the public health system of this country.”

Here in Canada, the CDC has had an excellent reputation for its work in the past and government bodies such as the Public Health Agency of Canada and Health Canada have interacted on health issues with the CDC on numerous occasions.  Now, the CDC’s scientific reputation has unfortunately been tainted because of the administration’s actions and its failure to provide national science-based standards in addressing COVID-19 issues and to help develop applicable national policies. 

In a virtual event held by American University, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious diseases expert, recently said that as many as 400,000 Americans could die from COVID-19 if action isn’t taken in the fall and winter.  Dr. Fauci acknowledged that there was the decreasing trust in him as a public official, especially in light of mixed coronavirus messages coming out of the CDC.  President Trump’s frequent attacks on the CDC’s integrity and several renown scientists have done nothing to help matters.  In direct contradiction of the experts and the CDC, Trump persists in stating that a vaccine will be available in the very near.  However, experts and researchers have asserted that a vaccine will probably not be available to most Americans until next summer or the fall at the earliest.  Once again, Trump is attempting to undermine the expert advice of the CDC and others for political reasons to the detriment of all Americans.  What a shame!

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Mr. President, Airborne Transmission of COVID-19 Has Been Known for Sometime

This week, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) finally acknowledged that the coronavirus can spread through microscopic respiratory particles known as aerosols that float in the air for minutes or even hours before being inhaled.  The CDC added a warning against frequenting crowded, poorly ventilated indoor spaces.  As a result, the CDC has long recommended that masks be worn when near others and are useful both indoors and outdoors for preventing the spread of the virus.

Why is this message important?  One has only to look at the big news of the week wherein it was reported that President Trump had tested positive for COVID-19, along with his wife and over a dozen of his top advisors and White House staff.  There was a lot of speculation about how the coronavirus was spread, given the number of events where the President and his entourage were involved in over the last month.  Some believe that airborne transmission may have occurred at the Sept. 26th White House Supreme Court nomination ceremony for Judge Amy Coney Barrett.  The event included a large gathering outside in the Rose Garden and a smaller indoor reception.  As was the usual White House scene, photographs show that in both locations few people wore masks and that social distancing guidelines were not widely followed.  There were also reports that the participants were really close to each other, they were hugging each other, and they were shaking hands.

Wow, why would anyone be surprised that the President, his wife and others, including reporters, tested positive after such events!  Talk about a total disregard by this administration for the health of others.  For months, the CDC and researchers have been advocating various precautions that need to be taken to avoid becoming infected with the coronavirus.  Most leaders in other countries, including here in Canada, have implement stringent guidelines to ensure the health and safety of their families and senior staff.  Those who did not introduce precautionary measures such as masks, like the U.K.’s Boris Johnson back in March, saw the consequences.  The virus ripped its way through the top levels of the U.K. government — infecting ministers and senior advisers.  Like Donald Trump, Mr Johnson was admitted to hospital — although Downing Street stressed this was “a precautionary step”.  Shortly after his hospitalization came the shocking news that his condition had “worsened”, and the Prime Minister had to be moved to the intensive care unit.  Fortunately, he survived.

While President Trump is now out of hospital, some expert medical practitioners have stated that he is not yet out of the woods.  Unfortunately, the same prognosis could be true for the infected White House staff and reporters.  Meanwhile, much of his administration is in quarantine for up to ten days or more.  Still, Trump has arrogantly declared that people shouldn’t fear the coronavirus.  Maybe, he would like to tell that to the over 200,000 Americans that to date have died from this virus!

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Squeezing the Middle Class: The Proof is in the Pudding

Over the last few years, numerous studies have come out which confirm beyond a doubt that the incomes of those in the American middle class have slowly but surely shrunk.  The most recent one just released by Stephen Rose of George Washington University, Urban Institute, highlights this fact by looking at income trajectories from 1967 to 2016.  In his study he concludes, and I quote from his main findings:

  • “ The median income growth experienced by prime-age Americans over a fifteen-year period has been cut by almost two thirds, from 27% to 8%.
  • The proportion experiencing a large income loss has more than tripled, from 4% to 12%.
  • The upper middle class has expanded significantly, while the “middle” middle class (MMC) has shrunk from 50% to 36%.
  • Income growth at the top of the distribution has been almost twice as fast as in the middle (48% at the 95th percentile, compared to 26% at the median).
  • Upward mobility out of poverty has declined, from 43% to 35%.
  • Downward mobility from the MMC has doubled, from 5% to 11%.
  • The proportion of Black Americans in the upper middle class has increased significantly, from just 1% to 14%. But large race gaps remain: 39% of whites are in the upper middle class or higher.
  • More education has become more closely associated with a higher income; 59% of those with a BA+ are in the upper middle class or higher, up from 37%. ” 1.

Meanwhile, several other studies have shown that during the last few decades, the rich have been getting richer.  One such study in December 2014 by the Pew Research Center found that the wealth gap between the country’s top earners and the rest of America had stretched to its widest point in at least three decades.  The same report also noted that the Great Recession of 2008-09 had destroyed a significant amount of middle-income and lower-income families’ wealth, and the economic ‘recovery’ has yet to be felt for them.  According to a 2019 working paper on wealth inequality by University of California at Berkeley economist Gabriel Zucman, the 400 richest Americans — the top 0.00025 percent of the population —tripled their share of the nation’s wealth since the early 1980s.  Zucman also found that U.S. wealth concentration seems to have returned to levels last seen during the Roaring Twenties.  Those 400 Americans now own more of the country’s riches than the 150 million adults in the bottom 60 percent of the wealth distribution. 2.

Once again, initial indications are that the middle class is being particularly hurt by the novel coronavirus pandemic, such that some refer to the current economy as the depression of minivans.  There is little doubt that there are two economies at this time: that of wall street and that of main street.  Gabriel Zucman writes that the wealthy use their money to buy political power, and they use some of that power to protect their money.  On the other hand, middle-class families tend to use their wealth to save for rainy-day expenses or to draw down on for retirement.  With the pandemic and ensuing high levels of unemployment in key sectors, the middle class is having to draw down on their savings just to survive.  Under the Trump administration which believes that wall street depicts the current state of the economy, wealthy Americans continue to thrive, including the Trump family.

1. Squeezing the Middle Class: Income Trajectories From 1967 to 2016: Stephen Rose, Economic Studies at Brookings, August 2020

2. Wealth concentration returning to ‘levels last seen during the Roaring Twenties,’ according to new research: Christopher Ingraham, Washington Post, February 8, 2019

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A September That No One Will Ever Forget!

Well, here we are.  We’ve almost survived the summer of COVID-19 and are anxiously awaiting to see that the fall has to offer.  Kids are going back to schools for the most part across the continent.  Parents are as anxious as ever for their safety.  Already, there are signs that troubled waters lie ahead, especially on college campuses.  While the coronavirus outbreaks are relatively under control in Canada, the same cannot be said for the U.S.  Community cases continue to emerge in the mid-west and in California.  Over six million COVID-19 cases have to date been confirmed in the U.S., making it statistically the leading country in the pandemic, ahead of such countries as Brazil and India.

In the meantime, the U.S. is preparing itself for a presidential election which everyday is becoming nastier and nastier.  Donald Trump will keep on tweeting right up to election day and will continue to use scare tactics and conspiracy theories to justify his position.  There is no doubt that this will be the weirdest American election of all time — virtual or not.  As a long-time student of American political history, this should be one for the books — and there are plenty of those already starting to emerge.

As far as the North American economies go, tougher times are expected.  As of mid-August, more than 29 million Americans were receiving some sort of unemployment insurance.  In Canada, although there was a labour market improvement in August, that may not be as robust as headlines suggest.  The fact is that most of the job gains have been due to the return of workers, especially part-timers, who became unemployed during the early stages of the pandemic.  The damage to both economies has been wide and deep.  Economic growth is in negative territory and is not expected to improve substantively for some time, perhaps years.  The two big risks for the recovery remain the uncertainty around back-to-school plans and the onset of colder weather which will also bring in the normal influenza season and potential second waves of COVID-19.

There appear to be two economies in both countries, that of wall street and that of main street.  The average American and Canadian is struggling to pay their bills, make mortgage payments and put food on the table.  The rich on the other hand are just getting wealthier, exacerbating the already established inequalities in society.  A huge question remains as to how long government assistance can continue?   The U.S. debt is set to exceed the size of the economy next year, a first Since World War II.  The federal debt held by the public projected to reach or exceed 100% of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).  In Canada, the combined debt level of all governments is poised to surge to an unprecedented $1.9 trillion or 85% of GDP.

The fact of the matter is that the only way that both economies can improve is by first getting COVID-19 outbreaks under control and, as experts note, by flattening the curve related to community spread.  In the meantime, school re-openings will no doubt test the resolve for both parents and politicians alike.

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Difficulty of Lying in the Face of U.S. Statistics on Coronavirus Cases

All too often Donald Trump has claimed that the country’s stats on coronavirus are exaggerated and not to be believed.  This is in the direct contradiction to the fact that U.S. coronavirus cases approached 6 million this past week.  The most recent rise in confirmed new cases is attributed to the situation in the Midwest, especially resulting from students returning to college campuses and not taking the applicable precautions.  In addition, experts agree that coronavirus-related deaths will most likely reach the 200,000 mark by the end of September.  Indeed, some sources believe that the current statistics are very likely an “underestimation” because of lack of timely reporting by several states.  Unfortunately, the President’s claims are contributing to the belief by some, especially his supporters, that the spread and dangers of COVID-19 is all a “hoax”.

Then there is the recent assertion by one of President Trump’s top medical advisers who is urging the White House to embrace a controversial ‘herd immunity’ strategy to combat the pandemic.  This strategy would entail allowing the coronavirus to spread through most of the population to quickly build resistance to the virus, while taking steps to protect those in nursing homes and other vulnerable populations.  The approach’s chief proponent is Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist from Stanford’s conservative Hoover Institution, who joined the White House earlier this month as a pandemic adviser.  He has advocated that the US adopt the model Sweden used in response to its virus outbreak, which of course led to Sweden having the highest coronavirus-related death rate among all Scandinavian countries — more than three times the combined total of Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland.  Although Sweden did not implement the degree of control measures taken by most countries, its economy has faired no better than other Scandinavian countries.  Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, says aiming for herd immunity would lead to an “enormous” death toll.  Even the World Health Organization has warned against pinning hopes on herd immunity.

Then there is the issue of rushing out a Covid-19 vaccine before it has been proven to be safe and effective.  President Trump is reportedly considering plans to put out a vaccine before it has been fully tested, claiming a vaccine could be available before the end of this year.  The majority of international experts, including Dr. Fauci, have warned against prematurely letting a vaccine out.  Without completing the essential clinical trials, any rushed vaccine would make it difficult, if not impossible, for the other vaccines to enrol people in their trials.  People and public health officials want the usual trials completed to ensure the safety of any vaccine.  Researchers are hopeful that a vaccine will become available perhaps sometime in 2021 at the earliest.  Its eventual use should not be driven by political considerations, but instead by science.  In the meantime, the emphasis should be placed on continuing to adhere to the precautionary measures already put in place by public health authorities across the country.

Please Mr. President, stop lying about the current status of the war on COVID-19 and listen to the reputable medical and scientific experts.  Tell the American people the truth in order to obtain their support and assistance in preventing the further spread of this deadly disease.  The time for action and honesty is now!

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When Leaders Turn To Scare Tactics to Win Elections

As many of you are aware, the Republican National Convention (RNC) is happening this week. It is so full of positivism that it’s scary!  It would appear that Trumpism has consumed the Republican Party, once a viable and respected political entity in America. What’s worst is that although the President earlier stipulated that the RNC would be full of positivism, it has to date been anything but.  On top of which, the Trump re-election campaign has no platform for 2020, but is instead referring back to its 2016 platform.  Also, during the course of the four days of the virtual RNC, Trump in an unusual move will be speaking to his followers — as if he’s heading up some kind of cult. The only and primary onus of the entire event will be to attack Joe Biden and the Democratic Party as being out to destroy the American way of life with radical socialism and unholy devil-made policies.

This leads one to the next well defined theme that, when one cannot defend one’s policies while in government or has no real new platform to offer, then the next best thing is to employ “scare tactics”. This is exactly what the Trump campaign intends to do.  Forget the fact that the U.S. is leading the world in coronavirus deaths (over 177,000 deaths to date) and confirmed cases and that average Americans are suffering from the worst economy since the depression, Trump believes that everything is just honky-dory. Miracles will happen, right?  However, should the Democrats come into office, Trump supporters literally scream out that the American way-of-life will be destroyed, freedoms will be lost, cities will burn and crime will increase ten-fold.  One might call this “negativism” or a warning of the coming of armageddon.

Nothing has changed in Trump’s extreme style and approach to campaigning. It may even be worst this time around.  Again, he is perpetuating baseless conspiracy theories such as the one surrounding the extent of potential voter fraud in U.S. elections, particularly due to the use of mail-in voting. His most recent theory is that, if the Democrats win the election, they will have done so through electoral tampering.  Trump further claims that this is the only way that he would not be re-elected.  Perhaps he should give the American electorate a little bit more credit for their active participation in free elections.

Many leaders of undemocratic countries, Russia, Iran and Belarus to name a few, use scare tactics to remain in power. Hopefully, the U.S. 2020 elections will not go as far as the case in such countries. Simply defiling your opposition’s positions without any substantive evidence is not the way to go.  Such scare tactics should be seen for what they are — the undermining of credible debate over the important issues of the day. Failure to provide meaningful and plausible policies to voters would be an unfortunate outcome of the RNC.  Such an outcome would simply confirm that a once proud Republican Party has been swallowed up by the occult of Trumpism and left to fade away into darkness.

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Conspiracy Theories Abound Under the Trump Administration

Never in the past when I was studying American politics have I seen as many conspiracy theories being touted by a President and a party than under the Trump administration. First, one has the President arguing that mail-in ballots only lead to electoral fraud, without any clear evidence to back up his belief.  Unfortunately, the result has been an attempt by the administration to undermine the U.S. Postal Service in advance of the November elections through deliberate cutbacks. All this during the pandemic!

Next is the President’s expressed appreciation for the support of QAnon. The QAnon conspiracy theory is based on unfounded claims that there is a “deep state” apparatus run by political elites, business leaders and Hollywood celebrities who are also pedophiles. They are actively working against Trump.  Supporters of the Democratic Party have been described nonsensically as belonging to a satanic cult of pedophiles and cannibals.  Here we have a group comprised of conspiracy advocates that even the FBI has identified as a domestic terrorism threat.  Their theories have resulted in violence by followers.

Then there is Trump’s unsubstantiated accusation that he is saving the world from “… radical left philosophy that will destroy this country.” Again, with no substantive evidence, the President is claiming that the Biden ticket is out to implement some form of radical socialism into American society.  Nothing in the Democratic platform would substantiate such a ridiculous claim.

Finally, there was the claim by Trump’s administration that the coronavirus outbreak was the result of being released by a laboratory in China. Further investigations, including those by the World Health Organization, have proven that this conspiracy theory was not only untrue but also nonsensical.  Why would the Chinese deliberately introduce a new virus into the population which would sicken thousands and even kill thousands of people in China, while seriously damaging the Chinese economy at the same time? On the other hand, the President initially even referred to COVID-19 as a “hoax”, a belief unfortunately taken up by many of his supporters resulting in serious health consequences.

It is regrettable and a tragedy that, during a time of major economic, political and health challenges, one has a regime that is perpetuating conspiracy theories. As always, I imagine that history will be the final judge.

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