FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Dec 4

Although Climate Change Has Taken a Back Seat to the Pandemic, Today It’s Still a Major Issue

by bcurry

The annual cost of catastrophic weather disasters is rising sharply.  Meanwhile, Canada and the U.S. aren’t doing enough to prepare for future disasters.  In the last year we’ve seen severe storms, hurricanes, wildfires and major droughts across North America.  There is little scientific doubt that this is the result of climate change.  According to a recent report by the Canadian Institute for Climate Choices, the costs of weather-related disasters equalled 5 to 6 percent of Canada’s annual economic growth since 2010, compared with an average of about 1 percent prior to that year.  Based largely on data from the Insurance Bureau of Canada, there were $14.5 billion (US$11.2 billion) of direct disaster-related costs from 2010 through 2019.  This is very likely an underestimation, particularly when indirect costs are taken into account.

Unfortunately, the current coronavirus pandemic has to a large extent put the issues surrounding climate change on the back burner for the time being.  Most experts would agree that, even without the pandemic, the bad news is that climate-change adaptation in Canada is far behind where it needs to be.  In addition, Canada still relies heavily on the fossil fuel industry as a major driver of its resource-based economy.  A number of studies have shown that the Canadian banking industry still invests heavily in the fossil fuel industry.  One recent study by the Rainforest Action Network notes that in the 4 1/2 years since the Paris agreement on climate change, fossil-fuel lending has grown at five major Canadian banks.  These banks provided more than $131 billion (Canadian) to oil and gas companies in 2019 alone.  Even the Export Development Canada, an arm’s-length federal agency that helps Canadian industry sell its products abroad, averaged about $10 billion (Canadian) a year in support for fossil fuels exports.

CEOs at Canada’s major banks may well pay lip service to reducing the carbon intensity of their investments and their support for green technologies, but the reality is that they have continued to greatly finance the fossil fuel industry.  Some have even promised to be carbon neutral by 2050, aligning themselves with Paris agreement targets.  However, their financial support significantly assists in investments related to exploration, production, refining, and transportation of fossil fuels — all of which contribute to Canada’s and to global carbon emissions.  Some will argue that it is the sole role of banks to make money and it is their primary responsibility to support the Canadian economy.  But at what cost? 

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Jun 19

Worldwide Crises Appear To Want To Come In Bundles of Threes

by bcurry

There’s nothing like stating the obvious. 2020 has been a crazy year so far.  Humans are facing the greatest health and economic crises since the influenza outbreak of 1918-19 and the great depression of the early thirties.  In the meantime, the global issue of climate change is still on the table.  To complicate matters, recent shootings by police of black and indigenous people in the U.S., Canada and elsewhere has led to a resurgence of “black lives matter” and the need for examination of systemic racism by governments and corporations. Despite fears over the on-going coronavirus pandemic, protests against anti-black racism emerged around the world.

As with the recent growth in support of tackling climate change issues, there has obviously been a major change in support for dealing with systemic racism and in particular the use of force by police and the authorities against marginalized groups. The spread of COVID-19 has particularly negatively affected various marginalized groups in proportion to their statistical share of the general population.  The economic lockdown of many sectors has also disproportionately affected those same groups as indicated by unemployment and poverty stats.  Vulnerable seniors in long-term care have unfortunately been the most affected by the pandemic as evidenced by the fact that in many states and provinces they represent around ninety percent of the related deaths.  This is a clear negative outcome of the inadequate warehousing of and continuing poor health care for seniors that took place over the last fifty or sixty years.

Young people today are also bearing the brunt of dealing with climate change, the downturn in the economy, systemic racism and future employment changes. As a member of the boomer generation, I do not envy their multitude of challenges.  As a society, we must recognize that the younger generation will require all the support that can be provided, regardless of the costs.  Once we are through with the various impacts of the pandemic, if ever, societies will have to seek out a “new normal”.  This will take a concerted effort on the part of individuals, communities, organizations, governments, international bodies, and many others.  Changes are inevitable.

Unfortunately, uncertain times as these can be overwhelming for people. Often, there is a desire to return to the way it was in the past — a form of “unrealistic nostalgia”. There will no doubt be opposition to far-reaching societal change.  If there is one thing that these crises have done is to force us to recognize the urgent need for real changes.  Simply talking about the issues is not longer acceptable, especially for future leaders.  Recent collective reactions to all three crises, including the emergence of global movements, are clear evidence of the growing desire for action and real change.

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Dec 2

Canada and U.S. Need to Consult More on How to Manage Artic Waters

by bcurry

Increasingly, the Artic waterways are open for a longer period to limited shipping, including commercial vessels, due to the impact of climate change in warming the oceans’ waters. For years, the former Soviet Union and now Russia have been building a greater capacity to travel through the Northwest Passage, even when the ice is still fairly thick. North of Russia shipping from Europe to Asia now takes place on an intermittent basis. Russia is far ahead of both Canada and the U.S. in creating ice-breaking capacity and particularly in the building of large nuclear-powered icebreakers. Currently the U.S. has two heavy icebreakers that are in their last days of service, and no new replacements are under construction at this time. Under a previous Conservative government, Canada proposed building a heavy polar icebreaker, but almost no progress has been made toward its actual construction.

Besides the potential natural resources that the Artic has, the Artic waters are of an important strategic value, militarily and politically, to both Canada and the U.S.  This year Canada released a comprehensive Arctic policy framework that places the emphasis for future development on civilian development. However, Canadian policy does not address Arctic shipping concerns.  This certainly is not a way to reinforce Canadian sovereignty off our Arctic coast.  Alaska’s two senators, Lisa Murkowski and Dan Sullivan, recently proposed the creation of an Arctic Shipping Federal Advisory Committee to centralize discussions about shipping in Alaskan waters.

I would go one step further and suggest that a joint North American body needs to be created, just as we have one for common defense concerns in the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) and the International Joint Commission (IJC) to deal with mutual issues involving the Great Lakes waterways, commercial shipping and environmental concerns. Not only do we need to monitor Russian activities in Artic waters, but both countries can better coordinate investments in the creation of an ‘Artic seaway’ and the development of Artic ports.

At this time, neither Canada nor the United States has much to offer in the event of a maritime disaster in North American Arctic waters. Isn’t it about time that both countries get together to share resources and expertise to counter the growing Russian influence in Artic waters.  Instead of investing in military capabilities in outer space, it might be wiser to invest more resources right here on earth where more immediate and important needs must be addressed.

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Oct 5

Can We Believe Canadian Political Parties on Promises to Deal with Climate Change?

by bcurry

During the current federal election in Canada, four of the major parties are each suggesting that they have the answer when it comes to dealing with the issue of climate change. Years ago, Canada under a Conservative government signed onto the Paris Climate Accord. An assertion was made that Canada would reach certain reductions in carbon emissions by 2020. Recent studies have shown that this won’t happen.  The current Liberal government did introduce a tax on fossil fuel usage and greenhouse emissions, but is facing several court battles spearheaded by several Conservative provincial governments.  While Canadians in polls tend to support tackling climate change as an important issue, they appear to not be willing to pay much in support of policies directed at the issue.  Especially where jobs are involved.

The recent demonstrations held across Canada and the world highlighted the concerns of future generations about the impact of climate change and the abysmal efforts of countries to seriously address the issue. One could not help but admire the anger of today’s youth over the lack of real progress in reducing carbon emissions globally and our continuing reliance on fossil fuels.  Indeed, in Canada, it didn’t help that the federal government bought an oil and gas pipeline in the hope of completing its construction down the road. It is hoped that oil from the Alberta oil fields would be transported via the pipeline to the coast of British Columbia in order to be shipped to overseas markets. Somewhat hypocritical, yes!  Then you have the federal Green Party and New Democratic Party stating that they would cancel all pipeline construction, instead preferring to invest in green and alternative technologies.  Somewhat unrealistic, yes!  The Conservative Party’s environment platform is pretty much straight forward: kill the federal carbon tax.  However, its leader has little to offer in the Party’s proposed policies, given few details, timelines and costing.  Some Conservatives, like the Republicans in the U.S., still believe that climate change is a hoax.

All in all, the major federal parties are nowhere near meeting the foreseen needs associated with effectively tackling issues surrounding climate change. The Green Party which represents the main party with a holistic environmental agenda has little chance of ever forming the government.  However, should the October election result in a minority government, the Green Party could become a major player in supporting either the Liberals or Conservatives in forming the government.  Should this happen, then Canada may just have a national government willing to deal with the urgent issues concerning climate change and carbon emissions. Perhaps, this is what Canada needs at this crucial juncture in human history.

 

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Sep 13

Why Is The Trump Administration Attacking Environmental Protection?

by bcurry

A recent article in the New York Times (September 12, 2019) noted that up until June of the year, 85 environmental rules had been rolled back under the Trump administration. Several rules, a number of which had been implemented under the Obama administration, were aimed at preventing pollution in air and water.  In addition, some were aimed at protecting endangered species and ensuring safer drilling and extraction related to the oil and gas industry.  A simple answer is that the rollbacks are aimed to please farmers, rural landowners, developers and the coal, oil and gas industry which make up a good portion of Trump’s support.

The most recent rollback by the Trump administration is the repeal of a major Obama-era clean water regulation, known as the Waters of the United States rule, that had placed limits on polluting chemicals that could be used near streams, wetlands and other bodies of water.  This rule was designed to limit pollution in about 60 percent of the nation’s bodies of water, protecting sources of drinking water for about one-third of the United States.  We all know about the repercussions from unsafe drinking water — just think of Flint, Michigan.

For years, one admired the work of the once highly-respected U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) which often led the way in environmental protection measures that Canadian environmental agencies similarly adopted. Think of the bilateral work between Canada and the U.S. in areas such as dealing with “acid rain” and the clean up of the Great Lakes.  It’s a shame that under Trump the EPA is moving backwards in terms of protecting the environment and endangered species and away from its original mandate.  To reverse these measures may take years to accomplish and the country will see serious environmental repercussions.

In terms of dealing with carbon emission reductions — think climate change — the Trump administration has taken a “laissez fare” approach, and even aggressively attacks states such as California who are trying to do something about their carbon emissions. This includes Trump’s warning to the state that a recent emissions deal with several automakers may be illegal.  A letter from the EPA and the Department of Transportation is the latest sign of President Trump’s anger at California and car manufacturers that have bucked his plans to roll back regulations put in place to combat climate change. Inevitably, the matter may end up being decided by the courts — again prompting more delays and serious drawbacks in tackling air pollution and climate change issues.

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Sep 8

How Many More Mega-Storms Will It Take?

by bcurry

As I sit here, Hurricane Dorian has just hit the Canadian Maritimes (Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick) with 160 km/hr winds, downing hydro poles and trees and removing roofs and flooding homes and businesses. After devastating the Bahamas as a Category 5 hurricane, Dorian continued up the U.S. eastern seaboard leaving further destruction along its path.

Scientists continue to warn us of an increase in particularly violent storms due to the impact of climate change on the oceans and across continents. Can we do something about its impact besides shoring up infrastructure, changing agricultural patterns, reducing carbon emissions, implementing more emergency planning and resources, relocating populations further inland or to safer locations, introducing new technologies, etc., etc.?  These are simply stop-gap measures.

Given the lack of global will of governments to seriously tackle the underlying causes contributing to man-made climate change, perhaps this is all one can do! A recent study, by the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, shows that about 70 percent of Americans believe that the climate is changing, most acknowledge that this change reflects human activity, and more than two-thirds think it will harm future generations.  Yet the same study found that most Americans would support energy-conserving policies only if they cost households less than $200 per year — woefully short of the investment required to keep warming under catastrophic rates.  If an identical study involving Canadians were undertaken, it would probably indicate similar results.

Merely paying lip service to and recognizing the impact of climate change is no longer any good. Societies and nations have to act and act now in real and tangible ways.  Setting targets for carbon reduction is no longer enough if no real resources are applied and major societal changes take place.  Industrialized countries like Canada and the U.S. must help to lead the way.  The environment demands it, we all must demand it.  The impact of environmental issues will affect all economies.  Sustainable plans must immediately be put in place in order to ensure our economic future and that of the planet.  People must be convinced in order to recognize and support the necessary measures to effectively deal with this reality.  Moreover, we have to walk the talk.

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May 2

Little Doubt the Climate Change Affects Economies

by bcurry

Wild winter and mid-spring storms in the American mid-west, wild fires on the West Coast, major overland flooding in Eastern Canada and extreme winter temperatures are just a few of the climate impacts affecting the North American economy. This past year has seen numerous climate-related catastrophes which have caused serious problems for several industrial sectors, including transportation, tourism, agriculture, forestry, insurance, etc., etc.  Several large corporations have taken a hit to their bottom lines, including Canadian Pacific Railways Ltd., United Parcel Service Inc., Tim Hortons Restaurants, Disney Enterprises and Air Canada.

No one can estimate exactly how much these climate events are actually costing our economies, but a rough guess would be in the billions of dollars annually to both the private and public sectors. However, we are all paying for limiting the damage, recovery and restoration activities and higher insurance premiums.  Governments are forced to allocate increasing funds to enhanced emergency services and disaster assistance to victims.  Then there is the lost in productivity due to temporary business shutdowns and loss of workforce in the aftermath of the destruction to communities and businesses, not to forget the regretful but inevitable loss of life.

Such extreme climate events appear to be becoming the norm. Governments, industries, communities and people are going to have to adapt and adjust behaviours in order to cope with this new reality.  The impact on existing infrastructure has been especially significant and costly, and will now require major investments.  People may have to move from vulnerable regions such as flood plains and potential wild fire areas.  Enhanced building codes will have to be developed and implemented, just as they are in zones prone to earthquakes.  New technologies will have to be developed to assist in preparing for and alleviating the negative outcomes associated with climate change, including those related to agriculture.

A fundamental question is just who should pay for the needed changes — tax payers, individual households or corporations? Indeed, the insurance industry has now formally recognized the impact of climate change and its associated societal costs.  Can we afford to ignore these costs.  If we do so, it’s at our own peril!  By the way, if one still doesn’t believe in climate change, one might want to check out the web site for the Canadian Center for Climate Services.

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Apr 14

Winter May Be Over, But Crazy Weather Isn’t

by bcurry

There are two things that most of us can’t avoid: taxes and the weather. In my neck of the woods in Canada, we have endured a long and hard winter from mid-November to mid-April. We seemed to be breaking a record almost every other day — be it for temperatures or different forms of precipitation such as snow, sleet and freezing rain. Meanwhile, extreme weather patterns were reported across the U.S. and in different parts of the world. The headline statement in a recent federal report, commissioned by Environment and Climate Change Canada, indicated that Canada has warmed “twice as fast” as the entire planet since 1948. Boy, it sounds like we’re in big trouble now!

Despite numerous international reports confirming some form of climate change, there are still nay-sayers running around with their heads in the sand. Anything that affects the climate affects us all.  Every sector of our economy is affected, be it agriculture, tourism, transportation, insurance, manufacturing, energy, etc., etc.  We have seen an increase in damaging floods, droughts, fires, tornadoes, cyclones, hurricanes, etc., etc.  You can’t turn on the evening news broadcasts without at least one story being about a severe weather event.

Already, many communities and industries are beginning to prepare and adjust for future climate change. From an economic and survival point of view, they have no choice.  This represents the greatest challenge to humans, and ignoring or denying it does no one any favours — while doing so is at one’s peril. Yet, here we have a leader of the world’s wealthiest nation and biggest contributor to greenhouse emissions, simply looking the other way.  Instead, blind policies are implemented that will even make the situation worst, all in the name of populism.

On top of which a new World Bank report concludes that climate change will transform more than 143 million people into “climate migrants” escaping crop failure, water scarcity, and sea-level rise.  For example, many of the migrants from Central America fleeing to the north are farmers who can no longer eek out a sustainable living because of the impact of climate change on their farmlands. So while I might complain in the comfort of my home about the miserable weather we’ve been having, my circumstances are nothing compared to the misery facing many populations around the world.  Think about it!

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Nov 25

The President Knows Better Than Even His Own Experts on Climate Change!

by bcurry

Under the auspices of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the Fourth National Climate Assessment Volume II was recently released.  Thirteen American government departments and agencies, from the Agriculture Department to NASA, were part of the committee that compiled the new report.  Like other similar reports, the White House dismissed the congressionally mandated report as inaccurate. However, this expert report may be a little more difficult to ignore given recent environmental disasters that have occurred in the U.S. and elsewhere. Let’s take a quick look at some of the report’s summary conclusions:

  • More frequent and intense extreme weather and climate-related events, as well as changes in average climate conditions, are expected to continue to damage infrastructure, ecosystems, and social systems that provide essential benefits to communities.
  • Regional economies and industries that depend on natural resources and favourable climate conditions, such as agriculture, tourism, and fisheries, are vulnerable to the growing impacts of climate change.
  • Rising air and water temperatures and changes in precipitation are intensifying droughts, increasing heavy downpours, reducing snowpack, and causing declines in surface water quality, with varying impacts across regions.
  • Climate change is also projected to alter the geographic range and distribution of disease-carrying insects and pests, exposing more people to ticks that carry Lyme disease and mosquitoes that transmit viruses such as Zika, West Nile, and dengue, with varying impacts across regions.
  • Climate change has already had observable impacts on biodiversity, ecosystems, and the benefits they provide to society.
  • An aging and deteriorating infrastructure is further stressed by increases in heavy precipitation events, coastal flooding, heat, wildfires, and other extreme events, as well as changes to average pre­cipitation and temperature.
  • Rising water temperatures, ocean acidification, retreating arctic sea ice, sea level rise, high-tide flooding, coastal erosion, higher storm surge, and heavier precipitation events threaten our oceans and coasts.
  • Outdoor recreation, tourist economies, and quality of life reliant on benefits provided by our natural environment will be degraded by the impacts of climate change in many ways.

Scientists have once again demonstrated this past year that much of the impact on climate change is caused by man-made emissions, especially that resulting from older technologies using fuels such as coal and oil for producing energy. These conclusions are obviously at odds with the Trump administration’s pro-fossil-fuels agenda.  What this report illustrates is that the economic consequences of continuing on the administration’s course of action are extremely serious, far outweighing any costs to businesses and the economy as a result of implementing policies in support of promoting green technologies and penalizing emitters of greenhouse-gases.

As it is, we will all have to begin to adapt in the short-term to the existing impact of climate change by upgrading our infrastructures, altering our agricultural production and introducing more green technologies. Climate change is a massive threat to long-term growth, and the most economically efficient way of avoiding it is a wide tax on greenhouse-gas emissions. This will force industries and consumers to reduce emissions over time.  Some people will argue that it may already be too late, forcing us to simply adapt to climate change at great immediate cost to everyone.  However, I would argue that drastic circumstances such as those highlighted in the report call for more drastic measures sooner rather than later — not only regionally but globally.  What we need is real honest leadership and vision, not unreal excuses.  We owe it to future generations.

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Oct 10

Maybe It’s Too Late To Realistically Deal With Climate Change?

by bcurry

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), composed of environmental experts and scientists from around the world, just released a report on climate change. The report concludes that the world has just over a decade to get climate change under control, or else.  Moreover, the IPCC notes that the overall reductions in annual carbon dioxide emissions in the next decade would probably need to be more than 1 billion tons per year, larger than the current emissions of all but a few of the very largest emitting countries. By 2050, the report calls for a total or near-total phase out of the burning of coal, something President Trump insists on preserving.

By contrast, we have the second largest emitter, the U.S., rolling back a suite of Obama-era climate measures. As a result, the prospects for meeting the most ambitious goals of the 2015 Paris agreement look increasingly slim.  In Canada, the Federal Government intends to introduce a carbon tax next year, but is facing strong opposition from certain provinces such as Ontario and Manitoba.  Ontario’s Premier Doug Ford’s signal achievement in his first 100 days in office has been to kill the province’s climate-change policy and replace it with promises involving few details.  Furthermore, he has cancelled the previous provincial government’s cap and trade program designed to encourage industries to reduce their carbon dioxide emissions.

Instead, some administrations are foregoing green technologies and carbon taxes in the name of maintaining jobs and stimulating economies. The problem is that globally we are now facing more extreme weather patterns, ranging from droughts, tornadoes, hurricanes and fierce storms with heavy precipitation.  The results are increased numbers of forest fires, coastal flooding, crop damage, permafrost thaw and the spread of diseases by migrating insects.  However, one could argue that there is an employment creation aspect in the form of more jobs for fire fighters, emergency workers, restoration contractors, insurance agents, meteorologists, etc., etc.

While other countries are changing their energy and transportation policies to take advantage of green technologies, including renewable energy sources, the U.S. and parts of Canada are unfortunately trying to maintain the status quo. Tackling issues related to climate change should be our first priority.  We can no longer afford to support regressive environmental policies, because the eventual societal costs will far outweigh the costs associated with reducing carbon dioxide emissions. The only question that I have to ask is whether it may already be too late?  Let’s hope not for the sake of future generations!

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