FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

Current and Future Demand for “New Collar” Workers

A recent article by Lora Kelly of the New York Times describes what is now referred to as “new collar” jobs. Of course, we are all familiar with what we refer to as being blue collar, white collar, pink collar and green collar.  “New collar” jobs are described as those that require advanced skills but not necessarily advanced degrees, especially in emerging high-tech fields like artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, electric vehicles and robotics.  Kelly also notes that there are real fears that workers will lose jobs to technology, especially artificial intelligence, in the coming years.  However, there are others who see numerous future opportunities for the labour force.

Even with these new technologies in what is called the new industrial revolution, there will always be a need for highly skilled workers to maintain and adapt technologies in each industry.  Conversely, while there is this emerging demand, numerous companies and governments are having trouble filling many of these new collar jobs.  This lack of supply is partly because of outdated criteria which requires that candidates have college degrees in order to apply.  Some refer to this outcome as the result of certain jobs being “overcredentialed”, resulting in employers overlooking an entire pool of qualified, available candidates.  With the speed with which technologies are evolving, many employers are now looking to finding candidates who can be trained in-house for the technical skills required to meet their current and future labour needs.

Post-secondary degrees will of course continue to be required for entry into specific occupations such as medicine, law, engineering, etc., etc.  However, we have to find alternative means to ensuring the new collar jobs can be filled in a timely and efficient manner, allowing qualified persons to have entry access.  As the future of work continues to evolve, so too do the skills that individuals and organizations need in order to succeed.  In Canada for example, the Public Policy Forum, the Diversity Institute, and the Future Skills Centre joined together in 2020 to publish Skills Next (Skills Next Series – Future Skills Centre • Centre des Compétences futures (fsc-ccf.ca), a series that explores what is working in workplaces, universities, and the labour market.  The studies examine where workers are falling through the gaps in our skills training system.  Their subsequent reports focus on one issue – such as the impact of technology in the workplace, gig work, digital skills, and barriers to employment that some marginalized groups experience – and review the existing state of knowledge and identify areas in need of additional research.

More needs to be done to determine which jobs are and will be “new collar”, as well as how the demand for skilled workers will be met.  This will require the participation and collaboration by universities, colleges, corporations, governments and research bodies to develop an elaborate set of policies to tackle the issues surrounding the evolving needs for future skills development.  There is no sector of the economy that isn’t affected by the introduction of new technologies.  As we enter a New Year, there is no better time than the present to undertake the required initiatives to meet the challenges.

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Impact of Social Media on How We Perceive Foreign Wars

A very recent poll by the New York Times indicated that American youth are more inclined to oppose President Biden’s handling of the Israeli-Hamas conflict in Gaza.  For example, the poll noted that voters between 18 and 29 years old, traditionally a heavily Democratic demographic, jump out.  Nearly three quarters of them disapprove of the way Mr. Biden is handling the conflict in Gaza.  On the other hand, older voters were far more sympathetic to Biden’s efforts.  Fifty-two percent of registered voters 65 years and older approve of Biden’s actions on Israel, 12 percentage points more than those who disapprove.  Biden’s administration has refused to officially call for a cease fire, while pushing Israel to allow more humanitarian aid into Gaza.

In Canada, the governing Liberal Party under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has take a more moderate stance, now calling for a cease fire to allow more aid for Palestinians into the devastated region along with the release of the hostages held by Hamas.  In either case, there is no win-win scenario for President Biden or Prime Minister Trudeau.  Pro-Palestinian protests in both countries are continuing, with a good deal of growing support on university and college campuses.  One of the main factors influencing the youth in both countries is the daily rapid access to scenes in the war zone, especially violent imagery of civilian casualties and hospital bombings, often through social media such as TikTok and Instagram.  Young people who use social media primarily to get their news find such images as being horrific and merciless. 

The same result can be seen in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.  Besides mainstream media, social media is also being used by both sides to influence our opinions of the war.  In some cases, recorded events are most likely going to be used to support allegations of war crimes against the Russian forces.  News media tends to slip between both conflicts, reporting mainly on the most significant and often horrendous events involving loss of life and mass destruction.  Everyday, terrible scenes of innocent civilians fleeing the war zone are propelled across our television screens and onto our tablets and cellphones.  At no other time in history has so much instant coverage occurred, influencing viewers and policy makers alike.  The most affected of course are young people who did not live through 9/11 or the Iraq war.

As more time goes on, the initial causes behind conflicts are often forgotten and become less important than the most recent revelations of atrocities and humanitarian crisis.  The longer the conflicts continue, support for current foreign policy positions will take a hit.  We see this among European Union countries, most notably Hungary, where support for Ukraine may be waning and opposition growing.  The same can be said for the Israeli-Hamas conflict which increasingly is turning into a broader conflict with the Palestinian population, not only in Gaza but also in the West Bank.  Israel still retains healthy allegiances in the U.S.  However, as the above noted poll indicated, the future of such sentiments is unclear.  Among young voters, 46 percent sympathize more with the Palestinians, against 27 percent who favour Israel.

There is little doubt that the opposing parties will continue to use social media in order to win over support their causes.  Especially by young people, it’s 24/7 and it’s readily accessible and most often not authenticate or corroborated.  Whether or not you think that it’s a form of propaganda, the use of social media will continue to play a very important role.

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History Has Shown That Protests On Campuses Are All Part of Supporting Free Speech

Recent attacks by politicians and others against the heads of major American universities resulting from conflicts in the Middle East are examples of how we confuse the exercise of free speech with that of hate speech.  They have forgotten the history in both the U.S. and Canada of incidences where students in particular have protested against a government’s foreign policy and its subsequent actions abroad.  For example, I recall in particular the student-led protests against the American government’s military operations in Vietnam and Iraq.

For the most part, protests on campuses against the war in Vietnam were peaceful.  However, they were often met with violent actions by the police or national guard, as in the deadly case of Kent State, Ohio in 1970 where four unarmed college students were killed and nine protestors and bystanders were injured by gun fire.  In Canada, student protests also happened in major cities, led by an organized youth movement against the war in Vietnam.  Protesting the war did not suggest that these students were “anti-American” in general, but reflected on their legitimate opposition to the American government’s foreign policy at that time.  There is little doubt that the growing movement became one of the reasons why the U.S. finally decided to withdraw from Vietnam, unfortunately having suffered many Vietnamese and American casualties and injuries.

The same position can be taken in the student opposition to the American occupation of Iraq.  After 9/11, in a highly emotional context, there was no doubt any opposition to President Bush’s foreign policy was viewed by the average American as being “anti-American”.  However, the initial rationale for invading Iraq was the false assertion that Saddam Hussein was behind 9/11, had ties with al-Qaeda and had “weapons of mass destruction”.  All of which were proven to be false.  Alone with a majority of students, I opposed Bush’s actions which ended up in devastating Iraq, destroying its infrastructure, promoting government corruption and severely punishing its people.  Also, the occupation upset the political balance among the Arab countries, allowing Iran to gain a greater foothold in Iraq through the Shi’a militia.  With the decision of Prime Minister Jean Chrétien, Canada fortunately did not participate with those U.S. allies who did so in the occupation.  This was not because we were anti-American, but because Canadians had varying concerns about the objectives of the U.S. government’s foreign policy at the time.  Canadian student movements and their protests reflected those concerns.

Today, it is concerns over the historical American support, both political and military, for the Israel government and its treatment of the Palestinian population of Gaza and the West Bank.  In recent years, the Israel administration has been moving more to a right-wing position, particularly under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  In July 2023, Netanyahu’s government enacted a major change in law to weaken the judiciary, in particular the role of the Supreme Court.  Throngs of protesters outside the Israeli Parliament and opposition lawmakers inside shouted that the change was a grievous blow to the rule of law, to the rights of citizens and to democracy itself.  The fight over the law prompted the most widespread demonstrations in the country’s history, reflecting a deeper split between those who want a more explicitly Jewish and religious Israel, and those who want to preserve a more secular, pluralist society.  In addition, the continuing growth of Israeli settlements in the West Bank and subsequent displacement of Palestinians in herding communities, often by aggressive methods, forced many to abandon their villages.  Condemned by the United Nations, the settlement issue has caused much controversy within Israel and the world community.  

While no one can support Hamas terrorism and its attacks on Israeli citizens, the fact is that for years debates have been ongoing in the U.S. and Canada over the status of the Palestinian territories.  Even the American and Canadian governments believe that there has to be a two-state solution — Israelis and Palestinians living side-by-side in their own sovereign countries.  However, Netanyahu, who is in a coalition with right-wing partners, has openly disdained the idea of a Palestinian state.  Raising these issues on campuses and the current devastating state of Palestinian civilians as a result of the Israel-Hamas conflict is not being “anti-semitic” in itself. 

Protests related to the current conflict are directed more at the recent policies of the Israeli regime and not at the Jewish people in general. Young people, and particularly students, in both the U.S. and Canada need to have a means to express their points of view, as long as they are done peacefully and are avoiding elements of hate speech and violent actions.  Just as we survived protests on campuses in the past, we will survive them today.  Simply declaring protests as being “anti-American” or “anti-semitic” doesn’t reflect the fundamental principles on which our democracies are based.  Coercion to shut down free speech on our campuses doesn’t do anything to promote these principles and would actually damage them.

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Today’s Younger Generations Are Paying To Support Older Generations

The recent federal fall economic statement once again reminds Canadians that previous governments never worked out how to pay for the healthy retirement of baby boomers.  Studies note that when boomers came of age as young adults, there were seven working-age residents for every retiree.  Now in retirement, boomers want the same or better supports when there are just three workers to pay for every person over age 65. The economic update reports some $150-billion (Can) in new spending on retirees between now and 2028, with possibly many billions more to follow.  These monies will drive up tax payments from younger people for today’s retirees well beyond what those retirees paid toward seniors when they were young.  Needless-to-say, organizations representing the interests of younger workers, such as Generation Squeeze, are not at all happy with the lack of alternative funding in support of younger Canadians.  In addition, all this means that deficits are increasing, and eventually someone will have to pay for the ongoing increases in our debt load.

Yes there are more monies in the budget to lower child-care expenses and to assist in improving the housing market for potential buyers, but both are a somewhat late in happening.  The mood among younger generations isn’t all that great.  They view, and perhaps understandably, that boomers have been given greater advantages when it comes to retirement.  Canadian seniors have access to a reasonably good social security system, much of it provided through public pension plans and a progressive taxation system supporting the elderly.  In addition, Canada has a universal health care system which provides affordable health care for an aging population. 

Younger workers are faced with fewer private pension plans, which unlike the boomers makes up a major part of their retirement income.  While defined pension plans are ubiquitous in the Canadian public sector, in the private sector barely one in five employees is covered according to a 2016 study.  Most past private sector pension plans, where they exist, employ a defined contribution plan.  Increasingly, today’s defined contribution plans require that employees invest their contributions in financial markets and incur the risk as to the value of their individual investments.  Defined benefit plans on the other hand were built up within the employer-provided plan and more-or-less guaranteed an annual pension payment upon retirement as long as the person lives.  Furthermore, investment risks associated with defined benefit plans are shared among employees and employers.

Today, younger workers are also affected by past lower compensation in comparison with the increasing cost of living.  Putting monies aside as part of building up a retirement nest egg has now become more important than ever.  Even if a Canadian retires at 65 — the age an individual is eligible for the Canada Pension Plan — and lives until 90, they will effectively need to live off savings for another 25 years of their life, a prospect for which many are not prepared.  For whatever reason, many younger workers are not in a position to put away a proportion of their income towards future retirement, even though there are government taxation schemes which allow for annual contributions such as the Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) which offers equivalent tax credits.  For many workers without employer pension plans, RRSPs often represent the only means of financial planning for retirement.  For lower income groups, even setting aside monies for RRSPs can be difficult if not impossible.

According to Statistics Canada, today the average Canadian will live until age 82, with the number of centenarians — those reaching the age of 100 — continuing to grow.  In 2019, the World Economic Forum suggested that Canadians on average will outlive their retirement savings by more than 10 years.  Over more prosperous years, today’s boomers have been able to build up their wealth, housing being a major part of that wealth.  Their children may in some cases be forced to wait for access to that wealth in order to afford housing or prepare for their eventual retirement.  As a result, they will most likely have to wait for their inheritance for some time to come given the projected longer life span of today’s boomers.  No wonder the younger generation isn’t too happy about their current situation and envy older generations!

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