FROLITICKS

Satirical commentary on Canadian and American current political issues

All Is Not Well in Washington, D.C.

It would appear that the U.S. capitol is suffering from something we could call “Trumpcolic”. The symptoms are painful and exhibit a continuous flow of wind from the intestines and bowel movements.  The smell alone can be dreadful.  This malady has affected Republicans on the Hill in particular, leaving them scurrying about in search of some medicinal relief, especially since praying has not offered any comfort.  While the cause of this epidemic is known, there appears to be no clear remedy at this time.  It’s difficult to treat since the symptoms are never consistent and change almost on a daily basis.  Indeed, the cure may be almost as bad as the disease itself.

Explanations keep emerging from the White House, but frequently are contradictory in nature. Given its almost daily instability, providing a clear prognosis has become increasingly difficult.  What is worst, the health of an entire nation is at stake!  American and foreign experts have thrown up their arms in frustration.  They have seen many a period of incontinence in the past, but nothing like this.

There are already signs that this disease has spread beyond the capitol’s boundaries. The Democrats are pushing to find a cure in the fall, while the Republicans are struggling to contain any further outbreak.  A sense of dread can be felt in all four corners of the country.  Many Americans have taken to searching out some form of immunization to protect themselves from this scourge.  Others remain convinced that the disease is fake and simply a fabrication of the established media.

Never in the history of the country have so many been challenged by such an outbreak. Despite expert opinion, no one appears to know who is to be believed anymore.  Even more important, Trumpcolic has now spread to other countries.  This has forced these countries to ally themselves in order to prevent a world-wide epidemic.  However, it may be too late because the symptoms have begun to appear in Italy, Germany, Austria, and Eastern Europe. Unfortunately, the stench is becoming that much stronger.

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How Many Workers Will Be Forced to Delay Their Retirement?

A recent Washington Post article by Thomas Heath had an interesting title: “Dying at your desk is not a retirement plan”. Indeed, he went on to note that by retiring too early you risk outliving your money, and staying at the desk too long you might miss out on life. How true.  The number of older workers (65 and up), mostly so-called boomers, have delayed their retirement for differing reasons over the last decade.  Bloomberg News reported that almost 19 percent of Americans 65 or older were working at least part-time in the second quarter of 2017. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) expects this trend to continue.  The BLS estimates that by 2024, 36 percent of 65- to 69-year-olds will be active participants in the labor market. That’s apparently up from just 22 percent in 1994. The same can be said for older Canadian workers.

A good part of the problem lies in the fact that many workers no longer have access to a private pension plan, particularly a ‘defined benefit pension plan’. In the U.S., according to a 2016 analysis by Willis Towers Watson P.L.C., the number of defined benefit pension plans sponsored by the nation’s largest corporations (Fortune 500) continues to fall. Just 99, or about 20% of these companies offered a defined benefit pension plan to new salaried employees in 2015, down from 104, or nearly 21% in 2014.  This represented a dramatic fall from a decade earlier in 2005, when 248, or just over 48% of Fortune 500 firms, offered the plans.  As per the same analysis, more of these firms are offering only defined contribution plans to new salaried employees, who will have to sort out their investments for future retirement on their own.

In addition, many boomers are not saving enough for retirement either through contributions to Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSP) in Canada and 401(k)s and IRAs in the U.S.  Indeed, in 2017, Forbes estimated that half of Americans were approaching retirement with no savings!  Instead, these workers appear to be relying on Social Security to finance their retirement.  Now, one needs to realize is that, for low-income Americans, Social Security may be enough.  However, will Social Security be enough to have a comfortable retirement?  Middle income Canadians face the same dilemma, especially those relying solely on the Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security to finance their retirement.  Their standard of living will suffer as costs begin to outweigh benefits in retirement, especially since we are living longer.

For those older workers who choose to continue working past 65 for an acceptable variety of personal and bona fide reasons, we salute you, especially where your expertise and experience continue to be needed. For those older workers who have little or no choice financially but to continue working, we can only hope that you will not die at your workplace.  For the latter, the best advice that one can offer is to get your affairs in order, remain healthy and retire as soon as possible.  Otherwise, you might just miss out on life.

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President Trump’s Behaviour At The G7 Meeting In Canada Was Disrespectful To Host Leader

Justin Trudeau is the Prime Minister of the sovereign nation of Canada and as such deserves the normal respect given to any head of state. For the past four decades, Canada has been a recognized member of the G7 Group. This body is there to provide a valuable opportunity for the seven participating countries to discuss a number of important world issues, including trade.  Normally, at the end of each meeting a joint communiqué is issued highlighting the results of the discussions. However, although the U.S. delegation appeared to have endorsed the draft communiqué, the American President abruptly left the meeting refusing to sign off on the document. Instead, Trump launched a tirade against Prime Minister Trudeau calling him “dishonest and weak”.

Other leaders and delegates were surprised by Trump’s outburst, although not completely shocked given recent events. After all, some of these leaders have been disparaged by Trump’s statements in the past.  Some observers have labelled the tirade released by Trump and his advisors against the Canadian PM as a form of ‘bullying’.  Having placed tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, Canada has indicated that tariffs will be imposed on a number of American products exported to Canada.  In addition, Trump is not too happy with the negotiations surrounding the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) which have been going slower than he would have liked.  Both Canada and Mexico believe that negotiations on a new agreement need to be thorough in order to achieve a fair and equitable result for all three nations. Given the complexity of some of the trade items, this process cannot be done over night.

President Trump needs to realize that the Prime Minister has the full backing of not only his government, but also the opposition members and Canadians in general. Unlike recent contradictory statements by Trump, the Canadian position on the NAFTA negotiations and on free trade in general has been consistent.  Indeed, the Canadian position reflects that of many of its European allies who have also been hit with American tariffs.  Regrettably, the U.S. protectionist situation leaves Canada, Mexico and the European Union with no other option but to retaliate in kind. No one wants to give in to a bully.  Unfortunately, workers and consumers in the U.S. and the other affected countries will ultimately suffer.

It’s time that Donald Trump realises that he is no longer part of a reality T.V. show. He is now on the world stage and needs to act in a respectful, informed and reflective manner.  Name calling and bullying have no place in diplomacy.  Years of cooperation and trust among nations are at stake.  Trump’s administration needs to be very careful as to whom it defames and attempts to discredit.  It’s one thing to launch a trade war and quite another to start diplomatic conflicts among one’s allies.  There could be grave consequences for the so-called leader of the free world.

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If Nothing Else, Enjoy the View at G7 Summit in Charlevoix, Quebec

Just up the St. Lawrence River in Quebec, Canada, there is the lovely region of Charlevoix. Amid hills, lakes and rivers there exists parks and hiking trails, picturesque little villages and tons of nature.  From the shores, you can often see whales playing in the St. Lawrence River. This June 8th and 9th, the region will host the next G7 summit.  If you’re not already aware, the G7 consists of the U.S., Canada, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy. What’s particularly interesting this time, President Donald Trump, the so-called master negotiator, will be there after having just placed tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from Canada, Mexico and Europe. Oh to be a fly on the wall at that meeting!

One has to remember that one of the goals of the G7 over the last four decades was to help coordinate trade and economic policies among these and other industrialized countries. The G7 has always been seen as a close-knit group having common interests.  This may all change at this summit.  None of the participants is happy with President Trump’s protectionist policies.  Indeed, some observers have described the new grouping as the “G6 plus one”, the U.S. being the one. The past goals of enhancing cooperation may be in real jeopardy, particularly when you have the American President publishing rambling tweets about the U.S. getting screwed by “stupid trade.” It’s obvious that Trump’s playing to his political core base back home, much to the chagrin of other Republicans and State governors who support “free trade” and have economically benefited from such support.

Moreover, the G7 has been somewhat effective because it had established a level of trust among its members. Now, Trump is straining those very bonds.  In addition, the President’s administration has not really gone after the real culprit in this story, China.  Instead, the President appears to be more concerned about his family’s financial interests in China and China’s role in the upcoming talks with North Korea. Although some will argue that the G7 as a body has done little to tackle certain economic and international trade issues, the fact is that at least it was there, along with the group of 20, to discuss emerging issues and perhaps avert damaging protectionist policies.

Let’s face it, I support free trade as benefiting all of us in one way or another. Indeed, I highlighted my views back in March in my blog entitled Does Trump Not Understand Fundamental Principles Behind Multi-lateral Trade?.  As for Canada, it has always had a close political and economic relationship with it’s southern neighbour.  Placing tariffs on certain products traded to the U.S. can only hurt that relationship.  Canadians are a proud people and take such actions as an affront to their country and its values, as appropriately expressed by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.  Such actions by this American administration will do nothing but harm the current negotiations around the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).  Unfortunately, both American and Canadian workers and consumers will suffer from the most recent U.S.-imposed tariffs.  Charlevoix’s quiet ambience will most certainly be invaded by loud and angry voices.

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